Category: General

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract are trading far below their 20 and 100 day moving average plummeting for the 2nd consecutive trading session down another $30 at 1,168 an ounce hitting a 4 1/2 year low as the Japanese government stated that they are going to engage into more quantitative easing sending the Japanese Yen sharply lower against the U.S dollar therefore pressuring the precious metals today. Gold futures settled around 1,231 last Friday finishing down around $60 dollars as the trend is clearly to the downside, however the chart structure is very poor at the current time so I’m sitting on the sidelines in this market, however I am certainly not recommending any type of bullish position in the gold market as prices go lower in my opinion with a possible retest of $1,100 here in the near future. All of the interest is back into the S&P 500 once again as the stock market hit an all-time high as money is flowing out of the precious metals and many of the commodity markets and putting it back to work in the stock market and I don’t think that trend will end any time soon as the months of November and December are historically bullish for the S&P 500 and bearish for the gold market so continue to play this to the downside and take advantage of any rally making sure that you place the proper stop loss. As I had written in previous blogs I was always concerned of the fact that gold prices were not rallying with all the problems with Isis and numerous other catastrophes throughout the world & that made me nervous as prices now look very weak as there is no reason to own gold at the current moment.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: AWFUL Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

World Cup Questions Answered

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've had a lot of questions about the World Cup portfolio (WCP) and its amazing performance so far this year. Through the first 3 quarters of 2014, it's had a very positive 99% return on invested capital.

One of the many questions we have had is, "Can I substitute ETFs for the markets in the WCP?" The short answer is yes you can, but there is one important caveat.

You're not going to get the same returns as the World Cup portfolio. The main reason for this is the leverage involved in the futures markets. In the futures market, you're only putting up a small percentage of the value of the contract. For example in gold, the current margin is $4,400 to control 100 ounces, which is the size of one gold futures contract. Your margin requirements are less than 4% of the total value of one contract. If gold is trading at $1,250, 100 ounces or one contract is worth $125,000.

You don't have that same kind of leverage in an ETF.

Here are the equivalent ETFs to replicate the World Cup portfolio. Please remember this is not a recommended portfolio, as there is no way to short corn, wheat, or soybeans. Continue reading "World Cup Questions Answered" →

Oil Prices Are At Two-Year Lows - Should You Buy Now?

Posted on by admin

By: Eric Winter of Street Authority

Stock exchanges are not alone in seeing prices pull back lately. In at least one case, however, that is actually a good thing.

Drivers both state-side and abroad have no doubt felt the pain at the pump subsiding this fall. In the United States, many gas stations are now hawking unleaded for under $3.00 a gallon -- a welcome sight in my eyes, at least.

Those lower prices have come at a cost to some portfolios, however.

Oil prices have been steadily declining since making highs in June, falling from north of $104 to around $81 at the time this article was written. Considering that nearly every industry is affected by oil in some way, this means there’s a good chance some of your holdings have fallen in tandem.

Naturally, oil explorers, producers, and those along the supply chain have been hit the hardest. Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), the world’s largest oil company by revenue, has fallen 11% since July. In contrast, the SP 500 is only down 2.6% in the same time period. Continue reading "Oil Prices Are At Two-Year Lows - Should You Buy Now?" →

Growing Profits in Forex Trading By Using Indicators

Posted on by The INO.com Team

The guy sitting next to you at work making all that money trading currency does not have a special Forex crystal ball. What he is doing to ensure continued profits in his trades is reading indicators and then basing his currency trading moves on them. Once you adopt this practice, how to increase your Forex trading account will no longer seem like such a mystery.

What are Indicators?

Trading currency requires knowing when to buy and when to sell and the sooner the better. This requires studying charts to see how the pair you are trading moves under current circumstances. These movements are known as indicators, and once you master them you will become that same Forex fortune teller as the guy in the next cubicle.

Identifying the Type of Market

When looking at a chart, the first thing you are going to want to pick out is the type of market you are dealing with. This will help you in determining the type of indicator you are going to use. A trending market is when the price of the currency is moving steadily, either higher or lower. These can be seen by long lines heading in one direction. Ranging markets are noted by strong resistance and support levels, where even with sharp fluctuations the currency is not breaking through.

Moving Averages

Continue reading "Growing Profits in Forex Trading By Using Indicators" →

Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part V)

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, terrorist attacks, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Elliott Wave International

You may remember that during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, many called into question traditional economic models.

Why did the traditional financial models fail? And more importantly, will they warn us of a new approaching doomsday, should there be one?

This series gives you a well-researched answer.

Here is Part V; come back soon for Part VI.

Myth #5: "GDP drives stock prices."

By Robert Prechter (excerpted from the monthly Elliott Wave Theorist; published since 1979)

Surely the stock market reflects the nation's Gross Domestic Product. The aggregate success of corporations shows up as changes in GDP. Stocks are shares in corporations. How could their prices not reflect the ebb and flow of GDP?

Suppose that you had perfect foreknowledge that over the next 3 3/4 years GDP would be positive every single quarter and that one of those quarters would surprise economists in being the strongest quarterly rise in a half-century span. Would you buy stocks? Continue reading "Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part V)" →