POLL: Job Report

If you follow headline news, then we don’t have to tell you about the kind of hit that the recent job report had on the major markets this week. OUCH. Just today the DJI fell 105 points, the S&P 500 lost 10 points, and the Nasdaq fell 21 points. The DOW alone shed over 400 points since Wednesday!

The increase in unemployment has caused major concern for experts, as well as all of us regular ol’ citizens of the USA. The recent job report was a definite letdown, especially for economists who were predicting a rate of improvement from 9% to 8.9%. Yet here we are with an unemployment rate of 9.1%.

Where do you think the US unemployment rate will be at the end of 2011?

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Be sure to Joins Susan, live at 1PM (ET) for your live update on the markets!

Avoid Losing Setups

Our friend Scott Andrews, a West Point graduate and former CEO of a public company, is now Founder and President of MasterTheGap.com. Today he is going to share an interesting perspective in this article on using historical probabilities. For a limited time to Traders Blog readers, Scott is offering a complimentary historical research study on opening gaps in the S&P 500.  If you enjoy this article, you may wish to download his complimentary SPY Gap Study HERE.

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Maybe you shouldn’t try to kiss all the pretty girls?

In the timeless words of Sir Winston Churchill, “Those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it."

Though Churchill was not speaking of the markets, the concept is certainly applicable. In fact, the easiest way to make money trading the markets, is to avoid those setups that have been unprofitable historically.

Many folks obsess over trying to trade every winning setup. I do not. I am a gap fader. When the historical probabilities are favorable, I will short ‘up’ gaps and buy ‘down’ gaps. Since more than 70% of all opening gaps have filled the same day historically in the U.S. indices, I do not need to catch every winner to be successful.

In fact, I’ve had my best success focusing on simply trying to avoid the majority of the losing setups. Let’s a take look a look at a real market example. Continue reading "Avoid Losing Setups"

1PM Recap (6/1/11)

Gold hasn't lost its shine, but Crude oil took a hit today. Watch Adam's 1 PM update to get a detailed account for all of the big markets:

MarketClub TV has been canceled this week due to scheduling. Adam is leaving tomorrow to celebrate his daughter's wedding this weekend, so I guess we will let him off the hook. In place of MarketClub TV, Adam will be recording a video to cover all of the major markets to keep you on your toes for the rest of the week. That video will be posted to the blog later this evening, so be sure to check in later. Also, Susan will be bringing you your 1 PM updates for the remainder of the week. Have no fear...MarketClub is here!

Watch past MarketClub recordings in our Livestream Library.

Best,
The MarketClub Team

Trader's Toolbox: Candlestick Formations Revisited...

Trader's Toolbox

We have had many comments regarding candlestick charting in the last month, so we thought we would revisit the basics. At MarketClub our mission is to help you become a better trader. Our passion is creating superior trading tools to help you achieve your goals -- no matter which way the markets move -- with objective and unbiased recommendations not available from brokers.

The Trader's Toolbox posts are just another free resource from MarketClub.

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"Japanese candlesticks, which have been enjoying the spotlight in recent years, are difficult to explain in oneCandlestick Chart broad brush. Candlesticks draw on the same open-high-low-close data as do bars. Here the length of the bar, or “candle,” is determined by the high and low, but the area between the open and close is considered the most important.This area, the “body” of the candle, is filled with blue (or white for most charting programs) for closes higher than open, and is filled with red (or black from most charting programs) for down days. The wicks above and below constitute the “shadow” of the candle, or high or low.

No pattern is 100% correct, but these formations are often time incorporated into many mechanical systems and can provide as great information source for the naked eye...."

Revisit the Trader's Toolbox Post: "Candlestick Formations" here.