Technically Speaking: Markets you should be watching RIGHT NOW!

October 2012 / March 2013 SUGAR spread  By: Brian Cullen

I look to get back involved in a spread that we were involved with back in June with a positive outcome. The formation once again looks like a great spot to re-establish the trade.

The fundamentals remain mixed as supplies and production appear to be on pace for the year, which has lead to the 400 point sell-off since the end of July. However, open interest continues rise and has reached the highest levels since our involvement in late June. This perhaps is suggesting we have quite a bit of short positions that have been added as we reach oversold territory. Should these traders begin to head to the sidelines, this should provide the support needed in this October contract for this spread to narrow before October comes off the board. Continue reading "Technically Speaking: Markets you should be watching RIGHT NOW!"

Daily Video Update: Draghi drops out of JH, volume dries to a trickle, while traders savor the last days of summer

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Tuesday, the 28th of August.

It is official, European Central Bank head Mario Draghi has called off his trip to the annual Jackson Hole conference of central bankers. What that means is anyone's guess, his official reason was "because of the heavy workload foreseen in the next few days." Got it!

Just a reminder we have very thin trading conditions at the moment on the big board. Many traders are still on vacation, we have a convention, a hurricane, Jackson Hole and all kinds of other distractions this week. In a nutshell the markets are moving on very thin volume which can sometimes cause distortions in market activity and price action.

The key word this week is : CAUTION

Now, let's analyze the major markets and stocks on the move using MarketClub's Trade Triangle Technology.
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Markets stall as traders await US Fed chief speech

Stock markets retreated Tuesday due to global worries about the impact of the eurozone debt crisis and as investors awaited a key speech by the U.S. central bank chief.

Investors are looking for confirmation that central banks in the U.S. and China will provide more economic stimulus and that the European Central Bank will intervene in bond markets to lower some countries' high borrowing costs.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will hold an important speech later this week that investors will watch carefully for clues about the central bank's intentions to try to speed up the U.S. economic recovery. Continue reading "Markets stall as traders await US Fed chief speech"

Energy Market Morning Commentray

October crude oil was higher overnight but remains below the 62% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at 98.22. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that a pause or short-term top in this summer's rally might be forming. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 94.14 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness. If October extends the rally off June's low, the 75% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at 102.50 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 62% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at 98.22. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of this year's decline crossing at 102.50. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 94.14. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 91.97. Continue reading "Energy Market Morning Commentray"

Gold Chart of the Week

Each week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

WEEKLY GOLD SERIES (August 27-August 31)

After three months of a painfully rangy trade, Gold Bugs were finally rewarded for their patience. Last week, after December Futures traded above $1630, the technical buy was on. Not only did the futures price test the 200 day moving average (what I suspected would be the short term target), it traded straight through before finally topping out over twenty dollars an ounce higher!  Furthermore, we begin this week with Gold printing another new high overnight.

It seemed last week that Gold prices were once again trading the fundamentals that once dictated direction. Here are a few factors that were baked into last week’s rally: Continue reading "Gold Chart of the Week"