Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part VII)

Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Elliott Wave International

You may remember that after the 2008-2009 crash, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did they fail?

And more importantly, will they warn us of a new approaching doomsday, should there be one?

This series gives you a well-researched answer. Here is Part VII; come back soon for Part VIII.

Myth #7: "Peace is bullish for stocks."

By Robert Prechter (excerpted from the monthly Elliott Wave Theorist; published since 1979)

Most people would not argue that peace is bearish for stock prices. It would seem logical to say that peace allows companies to focus on manufacturing goods, providing services, innovation and competition, all of which helps the overall economy.

But does peace in fact have anything to do with determining stock prices? Continue reading "Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part VII)"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the December contract rallied sharply this Friday afternoon closing up $27 an ounce to finish at $1,170 after falling over 100 dollars in the last 2 weeks as massive profit taking sent prices to the upside as prices are still trading below their 20 & 100 day moving average settling last week at 1,170 finishing basically unchanged which is amazing in my opinion as Fridays come back was remarkable rallying over $40 from session lows. Gold prices are trading right near a 5 year low as major support is around 1,100 as the chart structure is awful at this time so I’m advising clients to stay away as the 10 day high is too far away with too much risk as the U.S dollar continues to move higher pressuring many commodities especially the precious metals but wait for the chart structure to improve reducing monetary risk.

I’m certainly not recommending any type of bullish position in gold as I believe the stock market will continue to grind higher for the rest of 2014 as money flows will continue to pour into equities and out of the precious metals so look for opportunities to sell while placing your stop above the 10 day high make sure that you only risk 2% of your account value on any given trade as volatility is extremely high as I think today’s action was just a kick back in price which was probably overdue.

If you really think about it what’s the reason to own gold at this time as equities continue to trade at all-time highs while paying dividends in many sectors were as gold is used as an inflation hedge and at this point in time deflation is a problem not inflation so avoid this market to the upside and take advantage of any rally to get short
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: AWFUL
Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Twitter, Inc. (NYSE:TWTR) 1 Year later

It was one year ago to the day that Twitter, Inc. (NYSE:TWTR) had its IPO on the NYSE. The reason Twitter went with the NYSE was because of the recent fiasco that Facebook experienced with its own IPO on the NASDAQ. Twitter did not want to repeat Facebook's disastrous roll out with all its negative publicity.

For those of you who don't know what Twitter does, it is an online social communications and networking service that enables users to send and read short 140-character messages called "tweets".

On November 7th, 2013, Twitter, Inc. (NYSE:TWTR) shares opened for trading at $26 and closed out the day at $44.90 which gave the company a valuation of $31 billion. This made instant billionaires of founders, Evan Williams who made $2.56 billion and Jack Dorsey who received $1.05 billion.

But it got even better because at the end of December 2013, Twitter had a market capitalization of $32.76 billion. Since those heady days in November and December of last year, things haven't gone quite so well for Twitter. For the year, Twitter is down over 34% and down almost 10% from its IPO closing price.

At the moment, this stock is not having a particularly happy birthday as all technical indicators are pointing south and show that the stock could go even lower from where we are now.

One area that could be very interesting for Twitter, Inc. (NYSE:TWTR) is an integration trend I see between tweets and TV/cable shows. That would be a big source of revenue for Twitter. Other areas such as social revolutions or crowd disruptions certainly are powerful, but I'm not sure how Twitter can make any money off of social unrest, which we are seeing more and more of these days. After all, who wants to sponsor a unpopular revolution?

While Twitter has been around since 2006 and has grown substantially since that time, the question must be asked, is this going to be a relevant source of social information in five or ten years from now? Or is something else in development that can make tweets and Twitter a thing of the past?

The overriding trend at the moment is negative. How far this trend continues on the downside remains to be seen, but it would not appear as though anyone is rushing in to buy this stock at the moment.

In recognition of Twitter's birthday/one year anniversary, I decided to put together a quick poll to get your feedback on just what you think about Twitter.

Are you a Twitter user?

View Results

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Looking forward to seeing what you have to say and how you feel about the stock.

Every success with MarketClub,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub

Alibaba VS. Amazon - Which One You Should Buy

Hello traders and MarketClub members everywhere! Today, I will be looking at Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), who just announced their earnings and future growth prospects and Alibaba (NYSE:BABA), who just made new highs yesterday, since going public in its recent IPO offering. I will also be delving into Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and analyzing if the love affair is over.

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA)
Alibaba is an amazing company, started by Jack Ma not that long ago. Its recent IPO on the NYSE raised a record amount of funds for this company and made Jack Ma an overnight billionaire. So what does Alibaba actually do? This company acts and provides a platform to merchants to sell to their half a billion users that frequent their website. Alibaba's master plan is to be the biggest commerce website in the world. That leads me to another website that has similar plans.

Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN)
Amazon, who is undoubtedly the king of online commerce here in the United States, continues to grow, but continues to lose money. Amazon continues to pour money into the development of several other businesses, including cloud and server hosting for companies. Amazon's greatest asset, in my opinion, is the amount of information they have on everyone who has ever purchased goods and services from their website. This is an invaluable resource for marketing, not just for Amazon, but for any company they choose to work with. Continue reading "Alibaba VS. Amazon - Which One You Should Buy"

Forex Currency Pairs: How to Choose the Right One Right From the Start

As many countries there are that have their own currency, there are currency pairs to trade. This does not mean you should start off studying the movements of the Guatemalan Quetzal. New traders need to stick to those currencies whose indicators and movements have been well documented.

The three major currency pairs are the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. If you didn’t already notice, the US dollar is listed in each one. That’s because this it the most traded currency in the market, and the one that has been studied at length.

There are three very good reasons why you should stick with these three currency pairs:
• All of them are well established currency pairs that are traded widely. This type of liquidity guarantees that you are going to profit from price changes.
• They all have the US dollar, which means that the most amount of activity will be during the New York trading hours. This adds to the liquidity as this is typically when the highest amount of Forex trading is taking place.
• Since they are so popular, a new trader is going to find a wealth of Forex trading systems online that can help them in trading these pairs successfully.

Which Ones Should You Avoid?

Any currency that is considered to be exotic or uncommon should be avoided by new traders. In some instances the financial state of the country is too unstable to be able to read the charts properly. For others, there just is not enough information available to you. A new trader needs to use as many resources as possible before placing a trade. Unless you have some first hand knowledge of Guatemala and its future financial state, you should stay far away from trading the uncommon currencies.

Focus your attention instead on the: Continue reading "Forex Currency Pairs: How to Choose the Right One Right From the Start"