Gold Rises Ahead Of CPI Inflation Report

As of 4:44 PM EDT gold futures basis, the most active June 2022 contract is trading up $11.70, a gain of 0.60% at $1949.50. There were some alarming forecasts for the upcoming release of the latest inflationary data vis-à-vis the CPI (Consumer Price Index) on Tuesday, March 12. Just last week, estimates were released by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, which revealed a detailed estimate of the upcoming CPI report indicating that the level of inflation in March could run as high as 8.41%. Furthermore, estimates for the first quarter of 2022 predict inflationary pressures quarter over quarter could swell as high as 9.1%.

inflation

The chart above is a 240-minute candlestick chart of gold futures. We have included trendlines highlighting a series of lower highs as well as a series of higher lows. This has created a compression triangle and breakout above the current resistance level. This indicates that gold has concluded its consolidation period and moved back into a solid rally mode. This puts our next target for potential resistance at $1967.60. Above that price point, there is resistance at $2000 and major resistance at $2016. Continue reading "Gold Rises Ahead Of CPI Inflation Report"

Is The Bear Market Rally Over?

The stock market finished the week in the negative as traders braced for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 finished the week just below its 200-day MA, which could signal a move lower if it opens below that level on Monday and makes a move lower. In addition, the red weekly Trade Triangle levels are considerably closer heading into next week, which would mean a leg lower would be in the cards if they are triggered.

The DOW rose 137.55 points or +0.40% to close at 34,721.12. The S&P 500 fell -0.27% to 4,488.28, and the NASDAQ collapsed, losing -1.34% to end the week at 13,711.00.

All three major indexes finished in the red for the week, with the NASDAQ leading the way with a loss of -3.85%, its first weekly loss in four weeks. The DOW lost -0.27%, and the S&P 500 wrapped up a disappointing week with a loss of -1.26%. Continue reading "Is The Bear Market Rally Over?"

Earnings Calendar for April 2022

April means earnings season is almost here!

Alcoa (AA) is scheduled to report quarterly earnings to investors on April 20. That marks the unofficial start of earnings season.

It's also when our Drift Trader list starts to fire up again, picking stocks that have the potential to run after surprise announcements.

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Most Anticipated Earnings For April 2022

Below are some of the most anticipated earnings announcements for April (click to download a printable PDF).

April 2022 Earnings Calendar

April 1 (≈11 announcements)

Guardion Health (GHSI)
NextDecade Corp (NEXT)
Power REIT (PW)
Verra Mobility (VRRM)
Yatra Online Inc (YTRA) Continue reading "Earnings Calendar for April 2022"

Jobs Report Supports Aggressive Rate Hikes

The most recent jobs report supports aggressive Fed rate hikes, to reduce inflation, but other factors need to be resolved to solve the big global picture.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released some welcome news today. 431,000 Americans became gainfully employed in March, and the jobless rate was within 0.1% of 3.5%, coming in at 3.6%. Economists polled had forecasted that over 500,000 jobs would be added. However, that has little relevance with today’s report indicating that the labor market in the United States is vibrant and strong. The strength of today’s report shows that America’s workforce is now only 1.6 million jobs, or 1% of the levels that existed before the pandemic. It must be noted that higher employment is a byproduct of a tight labor market that has had to offer higher wages to attract new workers.

This solid report will give the Federal Reserve the necessary data to continue to raise rates, most likely at a much more aggressive rate. However, the Federal Reserve will have a near-impossible mission to have a soft landing as they reduce the current inflation rate to an acceptable target rate which has been 2%. Continue reading "Jobs Report Supports Aggressive Rate Hikes"

Stocks Have Worst Quarter In 2 Years

The first quarter of 2022 was the worst first quarter since 2020 in the stock market. The DOW and S&P 500 closed down -4.57% and -4.95%, respectively, and the NASDAQ lost -9.10%. Some of the contributing factors to this rough quester were the start of a rate hiking cycle from the Federal Reserve, high inflation, and Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

The major indexes made a late-session rally to close out the week, with the DOW adding 139.92 points or +0.40% to close at 34,818.27. The S&P 500 rose +0.34% to 4,545.86, while the NASDAQ gained +0.29% to end the day at 14,261.50.

On a weekly level, only the NASDAQ and S&P 500 were able to stretch their weekly win streak to three with a gain of +0.65% and +0.06, while the DOW snapped its weekly winning streak with a loss of -0.12%. Continue reading "Stocks Have Worst Quarter In 2 Years"