Nothing Good Happens Below 200-Day MA

On Friday, the stock market fell again, closing out another losing week and continuing its rough start to 2022. Again, the NASDAQ was hit the hardest with Friday's selloff sending the tech-heavy index to its worst week since March 2020.

The NASDAQ declined -2.72% to close at 13,768.92. The DOW fell 450.02 points or -1.30% to 34,265.37, and the S&P 500 slid -1.89% to end the day at 4,397.94.

The Nasdaq posted a -7.6% loss for the week and now sits more than 14% below its November record close. The DOW and S&P 500 closed out their third straight week of losses of -4.58% and -5.68%, their worst weeks since 2020. The S&P 500 is off more than 8% from its record close. Continue reading "Nothing Good Happens Below 200-Day MA"

Weekly Stock Market Forecast

This week we have a stock market forecast for the week of 1/16/2022 from our friend Bo Yoder of the Market Forecasting Academy. Be sure to leave a comment and let us know what you think!

The S&P 500 (SPY)

SPY Weekly Chart - Stock Market Forecast

While my forecast for a weak or "false" breakout in my last forecast has proven correct, I still won't have that much confidence in the sustainability of this top until we have a clear break below the support level at $450 per share and a weekly close below that area.

The Fed is running the show with its endless printing of money. Imagine yourself back in high school and working your tail off to scrape the money together to buy a car. In the meantime, you see several kids show up at your school in brand new BMWs that daddy bought. Continue reading "Weekly Stock Market Forecast"

Stock Market Notches Second Straight Losing Week

The downtrend from last week continued this week as the stock market notched its second straight losing week to start 2022, with all three indexes finishing in negative territory. The NASDAQ shed -0.28%, while the DOW and S&P 500 lost -0.30% and -0.88%, respectively.

As for Friday's trading, The DOW slid 201.81 points or -0.56%, to finish the week at 35,911.81. The S&P 500 inched up +0.08% to 4,662.85, while the NASDAQ outperformed with a +0.59% gain to close at 14,893.75. Continue reading "Stock Market Notches Second Straight Losing Week"

2022 Starts Off With A Thud

Well, 2022 didn't start the way a lot of traders had hoped, I imagine. Stocks fell on Friday to end a rough first trading week of the year, as rising interest rates battered tech shares. The NASDAQ dropped -0.96% to close at 14,935.90. The S&P 500 fell -0.41% to 4,677.03, and the DOW lost 4.81 points or -0.01% to close at 36,231.66.

On a weekly level, the NASDAQ posted its worst week since February 2021, down -4.53% in the first five trading days of 2022. The S&P 500 was off by -1.8%, while the DOW lost only -0.29% as traders rotated out of tech and into some value stocks amid the rising rates. Continue reading "2022 Starts Off With A Thud"

Weekly Stock Market Forecast

This week we have a stock market forecast for the week of 1/2/2022 from our friend Bo Yoder of the Market Forecasting Academy. Be sure to leave a comment and let us know what you think!

The S&P 500 (SPY)

SPY Weekly Chart - Stock Market Forecast

The Fed again interjected itself into the markets, and the downside follow through I was forecasting was squelched by the end of trading on Monday, then we flew back up to whipsaw out all the stops set above the highs! Since then, we sit and spin.

I still don't believe the breakout is sustainable and that we will turn lower. However, it may take a week or two to burn off the speed of the rally back up to the highs.

I'm not going to change any of my open trades, and this whipsaw reinforces my choice to take short exposure in the last forecast in individual stocks vs. the market index! Continue reading "Weekly Stock Market Forecast"