Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Silver Futures

Silver futures in the December contract finished up 3 cents at 14.35 an ounce stuck in a three-week consolidation pattern as prices look to be bottoming out in my opinion as the U.S dollar hit a two month low today helping stabilize silver and the precious metals across the board. If you have been following any of my previous blogs you understand that I have been bearish for quite some time however if you are still short a futures contract place the stop loss on a hard basis only at 14.39 which is only 6 cents away as it looks to me that a possible bullish scenario could be developing. If you take a look at the daily chart, the downtrend line remains intact, however, if prices rally about $0.10 that would be broken as the chart structure is excellent due to the low volatility. I could be possibly recommending a bullish position in the coming weeks ahead as the real weakness in silver prices was due to an extremely strong dollar, but that scenario has now changed. Silver prices are trading right at their 20-day moving average, but far below their 100-day as the trend remains lower as the U.S. stock market hit another all-time high today. I have had a bullish recommendation for quite some time as that's where all the interest lies, however, the commodity markets are extremely cheap in my opinion compared to equity prices. I think 2019 could be the start of a lot of bullish trends.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
VOLATILITY: LOW

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Record Week For Stock Market

Hello traders everywhere. The S&P 500 and DOW both traded at record highs for the second straight day this week being propelled by the energy sector as crude oil prices continue to trade above $70 a barrel. Of the two indexes, it's bigger news that the DOW finally hit a new high, it's first since January of this year when it's compatriates have been consistently making new highs this year.

The Dow has risen in eight of the past nine trading sessions, with the most recent gains putting the index up 2.2% for the week, its best weekly stretch since July 13.

Record Week Stock Market

The S&P 500 is posting a +1% gain on the week the NASDAQ will barely post a weekly gain checking in with +.10%. For the second straight week, gold is relatively unchanged for the week while crude oil had a great week posting a +3.4% gain.

The U.S. dollar continues to be in a sidelines mode with a red weekly Trade Triangle on the board and looking to post its second weekly loss in a row standing at -.70%. Bitcoin finally gave us the red weekly Trade Triangle that we've been waiting for only to bounce higher and finish the week with a +2.9%. However, expect more volatility in the near-term.

Key Levels To Watch Next Week:

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DOW Shrugs Off Latest Round Of Tariffs

Hello traders everywhere. While the overall market is a bit mixed today the DOW continues to shine as it approaches its all-time high. As we stand in early afternoon trading the DOW is up +.75% on the day and only 175 points or so from hitting a new record high above 26,616.71. This move two-day move higher comes on the heels of a weak close last week and weak open on Monday as we waited for the latest round of tariffs against Chinese goods.

DOW continues to shine

Late Monday, President Trump announced that 10% tariffs on $200 billion in imports from China would go into effect next week, escalating the trade war between the world's two largest economies, but the key point was that there would be a slower escalation of the tariffs through the end of the year which will ultimately rise to 25%. China responded on Tuesday by unveiling 10% tariffs on about $60 billion of U.S. goods effective Sept. 24.

The beat goes on.

Key Levels To Watch This Week:

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Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Silver Futures

Silver futures in the December contract settled last Friday in New York at 14.17 an ounce while currently trading at 14.23 up about 6 cents trading in a two week consolidation and if you are short the stop loss in Monday's trade will be 14.59, however in Tuesday's trade that will drop tremendously to 14.39 which is just an eyelash away. For the bearish momentum to continue, we have to break through the September 11th low of 13.96 as gold prices hit a two week high in yesterdays trade as I have now become neutral that commodity, but silver remains negative as the downtrend line remains intact as the volatility has come to a crawl. Historically speaking silver prices look cheap in my opinion as I do think a bullish trend eventually will develop as prices have dropped about 20% from June as we are right near a nine-year low as prices have plummeted from $50 an ounce in 2011 as that's how far this bearish trend has dropped. The commodity markets, in general, remain weak, but I do think a bottoming out process is coming about as the U.S. economy is excellent as global economies are also improving as you would have to think 2019 commodity prices will start to rally. However, if you are short, place the proper stop loss and if stopped out then look at other the markets that are beginning to trend.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
VOLATILITY: LOW

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Trump Tariffs Spook Markets

Hello traders everywhere. Overall the stock market was having a good week and was looking to close near record highs, but alas the potential for the implementation of tariffs totaling over $200 billion on Chinese goods has once again spooked the markets. News surfaced to today that President Trump has instructed his aides to go ahead with his China tariff plan. This move comes despite U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin's attempt to restart talks with Beijing to resolve the trade war that we are in.

The S&P 500, DOW and NASDAQ will all post weekly gains of around +1%, +.70%, and +1% respectively after bouncing back from weekly losses last week.

Markets

Even though the dollar is higher today, it's trading lower for the week losing -.44% on the week. Crude oil has backed off the weekly high of $71.26 to trade in the $68 range after experiencing a rash of hurricane buying mid-week as hurricane Florence was barreling down on the Carolina's but quickly sold off those highs. Gold is relatively unchanged for the week and is currently trading around the $1200 level.

Bitcoin is putting up a good fight and staying above the $6000 level and currently trading at $6475 posting a weekly gain of +4.85% gaining back a little of -13% loss last week.

Key Levels To Watch Next Week:

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