Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the March contract settled last Friday in New York at 34.10 a barrel as prices have reversed their recent downtrend including the last 2 trading sessions as prices are now trading at 32.17 up $2.62 this Friday afternoon. I have been recommending sitting on the sidelines for quite some time, however there could a trade here in the next couple of days as the 10 day high is around $35.02 in Mondays trade as prices are still trading far below their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short-term trend still remains bearish. Oil prices traded below $28 a barrel in Wednesday’s trade as panic struck the stock market and the energy market as worldwide deflation continues to hamper prices and if you have been following any of my previous blogs you understand why I remain short so keep a close eye on this market as a possible trade could be in Monday’s trade. Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

The Head Of The ECB Speaks - What Did He Say?

After a wild day in the markets yesterday, Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank, was at center stage this morning. What he said was almost incomprehensible to most people, including me. The clear takeaway was that European interest rates will not be going higher anytime soon. He was also asked what instruments the ECB have left to fight the current impasse in the markets. His answer was classic mumbo-jumbo Central Bank talk and did not address the question at hand.

It seems to this observer that the ECB and the Fed are literally out of ammo and have no clue what to do next. Fed chairwoman Janet Yellen's decision to raise interest rates here in the United States was, in my opinion, too late to have the desired effect. Should the markets head south as it looks like they may be doing, does the Federal Reserve have a backup plan or do they move rates back down again to stimulate the economy with another QE? Continue reading "The Head Of The ECB Speaks - What Did He Say?"

S&P's Stabilize, But Is The Low In?

The S&P rallied a jaw-dropping 60 points during Wednesday's session and left many traders wondering if the lows are in? Using eSignal software, I dive into the price action and outline the exact boundaries that should contain this "recovery."

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Plan Your Trade, and Trade Your Plan,
Todd Gordon

When Perception Meets Disillusionment

Perception, in my mind, is one of the most powerful forces in the market. Perception can help drive the market up or down and currently that direction is down.

Disillusionment happens when investors become so stressed out that they become disenchanted with the market, remember 2008? That is what I think is beginning to take place right now in the markets.

Let me give you an example with a well-known stock. Just two weeks ago Amazon was flirting with the $700 level and investors were falling over themselves to get into the stock that they thought was going to go much higher (perception). Now here we are 14 days later and Amazon has dropped over 20%. Did Amazon's business change dramatically overnight, are the prospects suddenly bad now for Amazon? The answer is no, what did change was perception. Almost overnight everybody who wanted to get into this stock became stressed and disillusioned and then wanted out. Continue reading "When Perception Meets Disillusionment"

Beware Of Dead Cat Bounces

What is a dead cat bounce? It is simply a rally from a very oversold condition. That's the case today as many of the markets have literally gone straight down in the first weeks of 2016 and contributed to the worst start of any year in the history of trading.

A dead cat bounce does not mean a trend change or that you have made a major bottom in the market. Technically, a dead cat bounce is really just a short covering rally from a market that is very oversold. If and when the major indices are going to reverse the trend and move back up, they are going to have to do quite a bit of repair work to change the negative technical picture that we are currently facing.

After the close today Netflix.com Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) will report earnings - the current technical picture for this stock is mixed. The longer-term trend for Netflix is positive with a green Trade Triangle in place. However, the intermediate-term trend is down with a red weekly Trade Triangle. I would suggest standing on the sidelines at the moment. Continue reading "Beware Of Dead Cat Bounces"