Category: General

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the February contract is currently trading at 1,261 after settling last Friday at 1,241 in New York hitting a 5 ½ month high continuing its bullish momentum. The stock market has utterly collapsed this week as money flows are continuing to exit and I do believe new money will start to enter into the gold market. However, I'm surprised that gold prices have not reacted more bullish to the recent sell-off in equities. I have been recommending a bullish position from the 1,252 level and if you took that trade continue to place the stop loss under the 10-day low standing at 1,236 as the chart structure is solid due to the fact of the extremely low volatility which is very surprising as craziness is upon us. Gold prices are trading above their 20 and 100-day moving average as clearly this trend is to the upside as I also have a bullish silver recommendation. There is absolute panic as I think the volatility in gold will expand tremendously to the upside in the coming weeks and months ahead so continue to stay long as I see no reason to be short.
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: SOLID
VOLATILITY: LOW
Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the February contract settled last Friday in New York at 1,252 an ounce while currently trading at 1,240 down about $12 for the trading week lower for the 2nd consecutive session. I have been recommending a bullish position from around the 1,252 level, and if you took that trade, the stop loss has been raised to 1,226 as the chart structure is outstanding due to the low volatility. Gold prices hit a five-month high in last week's trade, but the U.S. Dollar has hit a 1.5 year high today as that is putting pressure on gold and the precious metals across the board as I will not 2nd guess as I will continue to place the proper stop loss and see what next week's trade brings. Money flows have been exiting the U.S equity market rather dramatically over the last several weeks as that has helped push gold prices higher as I also have a bullish silver recommendation which is also under pressure in today's trade. The next major level of resistance around the 1,255 level and if that is broken I think there is the possibility prices could trade up to the 1,300 level in the coming weeks or months ahead as I would have to believe that the volatility will start to expand as we exit 2018.
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
VOLATILITY: LOW
Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

How Low Could The S&P 500 Go?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Our target for the first half of 2019 is and has been the 2100 to 2200 area for the S&P 500. A friend asked…

I’ve been meaning to ask (and possibly) know the answer, 2100-2200 for H1 2019 is your ultimate bear market target or opening act?

Opening act. It could be the ultimate target because there is a lot of support at that area and a good solid bear phase could put the Fed on ice and impose some changes to Donald Trump’s bull in a China shop policy style.

So, for now, I see no reason to make dire proclamations beyond that key support level, as so much will depend on incoming information in 2019. At this point, even 2100-2200 is not technically in the bag because the US stock market clung to last-ditch daily chart support, as per the marginally favored short-term NFTRH view. So all of we bear callers need to remember that as ugly as the charts are, support is not broken until it is… broken.

I was going to cover this in NFTRH 530‘s Opening Notes segment, but why not make it a public post and save NFTRH’s virtual ink for more immediate issues going on with the markets? Before we dial out to a couple of simple SPX charts showing the prospective downside targets, let's review the situation with a less than simple chart. Continue reading "How Low Could The S&P 500 Go?" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the February contract is currently trading at 1,252 after settling last Friday in New York at 1,226 up about $26 for the trading week breaking out to a five-month high. Money flows are coming out of the U.S equity market which is sharply lower once again today while now entering the precious metals across the board as I am looking closely at a bullish position in silver as well as it seems to me that the precious metals are going higher. I am now recommending a bullish position from around the 1,252 level and if you're going to take this trade place the stop loss under the 10-day low which now stands at 1,216 as the risk is around $3,600 per large contract plus slippage and commission or about $800 per mini contract. Gold prices are trading above their 20 and 100-day moving average as the trend is clearly to the upside as this commodity is used as a flight to safety as investors are getting spooked by the volatility in the S&P 500 while taking money out of that sector and heading into gold. The chart structure will start to improve later next week as the monetary risk will also be lowered as the volatility remains relatively low with the next major level of resistance all the way up around the 1,275 level as I think there is room to run as I have not recommended a gold position for quite some time
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
VOLATILITY: LOW
Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

Gold Stocks Acting As They Should

Posted on by The INO.com Team

The macro has moved through a time of moderately rising inflationary concerns when economies were cycling up, many commodities were firm and risk was ‘on’. Contrary to the views of inflation-oriented gold bugs, that was not the time to buy gold stocks.

As I have belabored again and again, the right time is when the inflation view is on the outs, gold is rising vs. stock markets, the economy is in question, risks of a steepening yield curve take center stage (the flattening is so mature now that steepening will be a clear and present risk moving forward) and by extension of all of those conditions, confidence declines.

Well?…

gold stock sector

In short, the improving sector and macro fundamentals I’ve been writing about for a few months now continue to slam home as the cyclical world pivots counter-cyclical. And what do you know? Gold stocks are reacting as they should. Well, it’s about time, guys!

The technicals had already made some constructive moves as noted in an NFTRH subscriber update on December 4th. The update concluded as follows… Continue reading "Gold Stocks Acting As They Should" →