Category: General

Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part IV)

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, terrorist attacks, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

By Elliott Wave International

You may remember that during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, many called into question traditional economic models.

Why did the traditional financial models fail? And more importantly, will they warn us of a new approaching doomsday, should there be one?

This series gives you a well-researched answer.

Here is Part IV; come back soon for Part V.

Myth #4: "Earnings drive stock prices."

By Robert Prechter (excerpted from the monthly Elliott Wave Theorist; published since 1979)

This belief powers the bulk of the research on Wall Street. Countless analysts try to forecast corporate earnings so they can forecast stock prices. The exogenous-cause [i.e., news-driven -- Ed.] basis for this research is quite clear: Continue reading "Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part IV)" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the November contract had a wild trading week in New York currently trading at $83 a barrel after settling last Friday at 85.82 as prices actually breached the $80 mark before reversing in yesterday’s trade to settle down nearly $3 for the trading week. Crude oil futures are trading below their 20 day and $13 below their 100 day moving average telling you the trend is clearly bearish and if you are short this market place your stop above the 10 day high which currently stands at 90.75 and that stop will be lowered on a daily basis as I missed this market and am currently sitting on the sidelines as the chart structure was awful when the breakout occurred so I’m kicking myself at the current time. I definitely am not recommending any type of long position in crude oil as I think prices will continue to head lower especially with Saudi Arabia coming out stating that they will not cut production as they are looking for lower prices to squeeze U.S output as this market still has further to go in my opinion and 79.78 in yesterday’s trade will be retested once again so continue to take advantage of any rally making sure you place the proper stop loss also maintaining a proper risk management of 2% of your account balance on any given trade. Crude oil prices have dropped from $104 a barrel in late June to today’s price levels dropping over $20 or 20% as consumers will definitely benefit when they hit their local gas stations and that should also help improve the U.S economy. The fundamentals in crude oil are extremely bearish as worldwide supplies are extremely high while supplies here in the United States are at record highs so it’s very difficult to rally as we don’t have the spike up in price like we used to when Middle East conflicts erupted which is a good thing for the United States.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

Our Most Important Poll Ever - We Need Your Input

Posted on by The INO.com Team

I feel this is the most important poll that we have ever taken on our website. The reason I say that is that we have never faced uncertain times quite like this. Some of you are going to say, "Adam this is a political posting and not market related." I'm going to respectfully disagree with you as it has everything to do with the markets. What is affecting the minds of investors and the market has, in a large degree, everything to do with Ebola and ISIS. You only have to look at what has happened to the markets in the past two or three weeks. There is not a person I've spoken with in the past two weeks who isn’t concerned about Ebola and what's going on in this country. Forget politics, Ebola doesn’t care if you are a Republican, a Democrat, or an independent. Ebola has no political agenda. Continue reading "Our Most Important Poll Ever - We Need Your Input" →

Dividend Investors Rejoice: Falling Markets Mean Rising Yields

Posted on by admin

By: David Sterman of Street Authority

In the early stages of the bull market, investors flocked to companies with steady and growing dividends. Yet, since the market began to think about an eventual rise in interest rates back in May 2013, this asset class has lost a bit of luster.

The concerns were quite logical: A steady rise in fixed-income yields naturally reduces the appeal of relatively riskier stocks.

But the emerging economic crisis in Europe changes everything. It's increasingly apparent that European economic troubles are here to stay for quite some time, which is likely to keep a lid on global interest rates. It's a bit of a goldilocks scenario for the U.S. economy, as low rates will help our economic recovery to expand without a rate rise headwind.

You would suspect that the pullback in interest rates would help provide support to dividend-paying stocks, but many of them haven't been able to escape the recent market rout. If you've been tracking divided payers but found their dividend yields to be too skimpy, you're in luck. The market slump pushed many 2% yielders into the 3% range, many 3% yielders into the 4% range, etc. In the context of falling fixed income yields, such dividend yields are now comparatively appealing again. Continue reading "Dividend Investors Rejoice: Falling Markets Mean Rising Yields" →

When Someone Is Desperate To Sell $750 Million Of Stocks

Posted on by The INO.com Team

There was a rumor yesterday that one fund or individual decided to dump three-quarters of a billion dollars of U.S. equity market exposure in 1 second. This action created a complete collapse of all liquidity in the S&P 500 e-mini futures contract - the world's most liquid equity exposure vehicle.

That was yesterday's news ….

That negative action in all the equity markets pushed the Dow down 252 points for the year with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ barely changed since last December.

As many of you know who read this blog, we have been on the sidelines for quite some time in most of the markets. And this stems from having a game plan and a sound winning approach to the markets.

So many investors trade based on emotion. Emotional trading is the fastest account killer I know, yet it still reeks havoc on investor's portfolios every year.

One of the easiest ways to avoid emotional trading is to use a well designed and tested portfolio approach. Now, just to be clear, we are not swinging for the fences with some get-rich-quick scheme. No, what I am referring to is MarketClub's Internet portfolio which produced gains in 2013 of 65%.

So far through the third quarter of 2014, this portfolio is in the positive column with a return of 14.6%. This puts MarketClub's Internet portfolio returns for the year ahead of the likes of Carl Icahn, with 10.98%. Warren Buffet with 10.43% and Julian Robertson with a 10.13% return and a host of other well-known billionaire money managers including Edward Lampert whose fund is down -37.5% for the year.

When you compare the returns of our Internet portfolio, to the market and the Billionaire fund managers I think you would agree that our returns have been excellent.

Our Internet portfolio is very easy to track and implement into your trading as there are only five stocks to follow. We share with you the key levels that will make any of the five stocks we track reverse … it's better than real-time! We also share with you sound money management stops we use to protect capital.

Here are those five stocks in our Internet portfolio:

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN)
Facebook Inc. (NASDAQ:FB)
Yelp Inc. (NYSE:YELP)
Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ:YHOO)
Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX)

The great part about this approach is that you can place the orders yourself with a broker and then go about whatever you enjoy doing most. Whether it is playing golf, tennis, cycling or going to work, you now are afforded the time to do what ever you want. You do not have to watch the market every second of the day and become emotionally invested.

If you'd like to learn more about our Internet portfolio just click here. Here you'll find all the rules you will ever need to be successful using this portfolio.

Q4 promises to be a very interesting quarter lots of opportunities. I sincerely hope that you can take advantage of MarketClub's Internet portfolio signals and see just how it relieves stress of trading from your mind and body.

Every success,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-Creator, MarketClub