It's Friday And Things Could Get Ugly

Even before the announcement of non farm payrolls, which is one of the most significant data releases of the summer, the markets were on the decline. One of the reasons for that has to be yesterday's market action, all the indices fell from their best levels of the day and closed at or close to the lows.

Yesterday's close in both the Dow and the S&P 500 was on target to be the lowest Friday close if nothing happened today. The fact that we are down sharply this morning is a huge negative in my book, but is not one that is surprising.

As we go into the long Labor Day weekend look for the markets to be very thinly traded and volatile. I'm looking for a new low Friday close today. The lowest most recent Friday close was 16,559.75 on the Dow and 1,970.89 on the S&P 500. The NASDAQ was the only index to remain above its lowest Friday close yesterday by just a few points. The level to watch in the NASDAQ is 4,717.16, that level represents the lowest most recent close on a Friday. Continue reading "It's Friday And Things Could Get Ugly"

Is The Market Doing Push-Ups?

It sure seems that way, doesn't? We are up one day and down the next. I'm not surprised with the market's action, it is what I expected after such a big drop.

It's Thursday and while this is an important day, I think Friday is going to be a more important day. Last Friday we saw the Dow Jones close at 16,643.10, the S&P closed at 1,988.87 and the NASDAQ closed at 4,828.54. As I write this, all three major indices are lower than last Friday's close and are down for the week. However, they are not lower than the recent Friday low close we witnessed just a few weeks ago when the Dow closed at 16,459.75, the S&P 500 at 1970.89 and the NASDAQ at 4717.16. Those closes in my mind are all crucial, if they are broken we could see a continuation to the downside. If they hold, it gives hope to the bulls that this was just a short-term correction and the markets will start going back up. Continue reading "Is The Market Doing Push-Ups?"

Should You Buy Crude Oil Or Gold?

One of the things I love about trading is how the dynamics of markets change. Change can happen quite quickly in many instances and quite slowly in others. In today's video, I'm going to be looking at some slow and fast changes in crude oil, gold, as well as the major markets.

I will also be looking at tools that you can use to spot changes and accelerations in markets and how you can set these tools up to work for you.

September promises to be a very choppy month as the markets settle down after the dramatic downturn we all witnessed in late August. One of the great things about the market is you don't have to be in the market all the time, you can be on the sidelines. Having a position on the sidelines is what I call the third position, there is nothing wrong with just observing the market from the safety of sidelines.

Two days ago, the gold market gave us a buy signal which I will be taking a look at in today's video. Continue reading "Should You Buy Crude Oil Or Gold?"

It's Not Over…

I believe that the "dead cat bounce" I discussed last week has occurred with the market action seen late last week. Many of the major indices have rallied back to their Fibonacci resistance levels which should hold the markets' upward momentum, at least in the short term.

If you're not familiar with our Fibonacci tool, you can learn about it right here.

Another big negative for the markets is that many of the world indices had their worst month in three years. Unless there is a miracle today, it would appear as though the month of August is going to go into the minus column for the Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ.

There is an old trading maxim which you may have heard, "don't try to catch a falling knife," that should be every investors' mantra for September.

One of the problems overhanging the market right now has to be the Fed and if they are going to raise interest rates in September. This uncertainty is not a good thing for the market and it would appear as though the Fed and the rest of the Central Banks are pretty much out of bullets in terms of helping the economy and the markets. Continue reading "It's Not Over…"

Choppy Action and a Dead Cat Bounce

This week has been one for the history books and it's not over with yet, we still have today's action to contemplate. So what has the market really accomplished this week? Well, it has frustrated both the bulls and the bears, that's for sure. It's hard to believe that after all of this chop that the Dow is only up 1.18% for the week if it closes where it is currently trading (and less than that on the S&P 500).

What does all of this choppy action mean? Has the market topped out? Is this a "dead cat bounce"?

Let's just let all the dust settle and see what is going on in the major indices for the week and the month.

Last week the major indices closed at: Continue reading "Choppy Action and a Dead Cat Bounce"