Stock Market Notches Second Straight Losing Week

Posted on by The INO.com Team

The downtrend from last week continued this week as the stock market notched its second straight losing week to start 2022, with all three indexes finishing in negative territory. The NASDAQ shed -0.28%, while the DOW and S&P 500 lost -0.30% and -0.88%, respectively.

As for Friday's trading, The DOW slid 201.81 points or -0.56%, to finish the week at 35,911.81. The S&P 500 inched up +0.08% to 4,662.85, while the NASDAQ outperformed with a +0.59% gain to close at 14,893.75. Continue reading "Stock Market Notches Second Straight Losing Week" →

The Truth Behind The Bitcoin Sell-Off

Posted on by Wayne Burritt

Let's get right to it, if you invest long enough, you're going to have to deal with markets behaving in knee-jerk ways, and the recent selloff is Bitcoin (BTC) fits the bill to a T.

The fact is Bitcoin, along with the entire crypto asset class, got pummeled because the Fed signaled that they're in the mood to raise interest rates sooner rather than later. This outlook, which came from the Fed's minutes of the December meeting, wasn't what the markets expected. And we all know that when the markets don't get what they expect, they take their toys, go home, and sell pretty much everything in sight.

So, what juicy secret did the minutes reveal? As with most Fed announcements, precise forecasts are hard to glean. But the gist was that the Fed would raise rates sooner rather than later.

But if you think that it was just crypto that took it on the chin, think again. This more hawkish view on interest rates also hammered stocks, especially tech stocks.

All told, since the beginning of 2022, Bitcoin has dropped 14%, the NASDAQ 7%, and the S&P 4%. So, basically, once the Fed's minutes hit the street, there was nowhere to hide.

What’s So Bad About Higher Interest Rates?

So, why don't markets like higher rates? Continue reading "The Truth Behind The Bitcoin Sell-Off" →

Top Performing ETFs Of 2021

Posted on by Matt Thalman

Despite the major market crash in March, all of the major indexes ended 2020 in the green. The S&P 500 (SP500) ended the year up 26.89%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) rose 18.73%, and the NASDAQ (COMP) increased by 21.39% in 2021. Despite what felt like a discount between technology stocks, the NASDAQ, and the market as a whole, the S&P 500, the technology-focused index, lagged the overall market.

While in 2020, it seems that no matter what you had invested in, you did well, 2021 was a bit different. 2021 was a little sector or momentum-driven as we saw the rise and fall of the meme stocks, the ever-fluctuating battle between the ‘stay at home’ stocks and the ‘re-opening trade’ stocks. So, depending on when you bought or sold stocks or funds, unfortunately, really dictated how well your portfolio did over the past year.

When you look back at the year now, did you match market returns, fall behind, or were you invested in stocks and ETFs that beat the averages? Let’s take a look at the top five best performing ETFs of 2021 in a number of different categories the average investor has to choose from.

The following table shows the performance of the top five best performing ETFs in 2021, as well as their performance over the last month, the last three months, the last five and ten years. Continue reading "Top Performing ETFs Of 2021" →

Block and PayPal - Ostensibly Bottomed

Posted on by Noah Kiedrowski

Before the massive market rotation and tech-heavy selling, specifically in high beta and richly valued stocks, fintech had been in a multi-year secular growth trend. Recently, high-quality names in the space such as Block (SQ), formally Square, and PayPal (PYPL) have seen their stocks nearly cut in half. Block has come down from $298 to $138 or a 54% drop, while PayPal has come down from $310 to $179 or a 42% drop. All the rage has been about the buy-now and pay-later platforms as a disruptor to the entire payments space. However, Block came through with a $29 billion, all-stock deal to buy Afterpay, a major buy-now, and pay-later platform. Block's acquisition highlights consumers circumventing traditional credit, especially younger buyers, for installment loans. PayPal also offers their version of buy-now and pay-later offering, which showed fantastic growth over the holiday season and a surge of 400% on Black Friday alone.

Both Block and PayPal are firmly in the buy-now and pay-later space while also enabling businesses at the point of sale, analytics, peer-to-peer payments via Venmo (PayPal) and Cash App (Block), small business lending, cryptocurrency transactions, and support traditional credit card integrations into their platforms. Block and PayPal offer end-to-end financial solutions for businesses and consumers while powering the next generation of financial technology. These financial technology companies are creating additional revenue verticals while addressing unmet needs in the financial services space. Both Block and PayPal may offer long-term growth at very reduced valuations due to the tech-heavy selling, when factoring in their end markets are current growth rates. Continue reading "Block and PayPal - Ostensibly Bottomed" →

A Cynical Fed Is A Dangerous Fed

Posted on by Gary Tanashian

A stroll through recent and not so recent inflationary history. On ‘Fed minutes Wednesday’ the media amplified the noise, the machines are doing what the machines do and running with it, and it’s all eyes on the great and powerful Fed (of Oz).

The Fed created the cyclical inflation (in NFTRH we detailed and managed the process successfully in real-time) and thus the Fed created the cycle. In 2021 the Fed was exposed to the public as the agent of inflation it actually is, and when the inflation threatened to get out of hand they went into damage control mode. Now the Fed is trying to cool the inflation, which means cooling the cycle itself. You can’t have your inflated cake and eat it too. Not when the racket is exposed to the public.

Okay now, that second to last line triggered a memory and sent me to YouTube. Now I have distracted myself with a good laugh.

Moe: “Now look what you did; you deflated it!”

Larry: “Hey, we better blow it up again!”

Moe: “Give it the gas. Larry: “Gas on”. Moe: “Gas on”…. “Gas off!”. Larry: “Gas off”. Moe: “That oughtta be enough…”

Man blows out the candles and BOOM!!!! Classic, and so appropriate. Continue reading "A Cynical Fed Is A Dangerous Fed" →