In Search of the Most Efficient Energy & Commodity ETFs

Adam Feik - INO.com Contributor - Energies


I wrote last week about the best oil ETFs. In the process, I discovered an interesting feature of the PowerShares DB Oil ETF (DBO), of which I had not previously been aware.

Specifically, as I described, other oil ETFs have a practice of automatically rolling into the next month’s oil futures contract when the current month contract expires – even if doing so will cause some price decay, as in “contango,” when the next month’s contract is higher priced than the current months (which commonly happens due to storage costs incurred by the party holding the physical commodity, etc). DBO, on the other hand, designed their ETF to NOT automatically roll into the next month’s futures contract, specifically to address that problem of decay, or “negative roll yield.” Instead, PowerShares uses what it calls an “Optimum Yield” formula to automatically roll into the most attractive near-month futures contract (of the next 13 months). In so doing, DBO thereby claims to optimize the fund’s “roll yield” (whether markets are in a state of contango or the opposite condition, known as backwardation). Continue reading "In Search of the Most Efficient Energy & Commodity ETFs"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the June contract are closing down $18 this Friday afternoon to settle around 1,176 an ounce hitting a 5 week low as I’m now recommending a short position while placing your stop loss above the 10 day high which currently stands at 1,209 risking around $32 or $1,000 per mini contract plus slippage and commission as the chart structure is solid at the current time. Gold futures finished down about $25 for the trading week as all the action is back into the S&P 500 which is hitting all-time highs once again this Friday afternoon as money is coming out all precious metals and into the equity market and that trend is going to continue as I’m recommending a bullish position in the equities at the current time as well. Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Will The NASDAQ And S&P 500 Continue To Move Higher?

This week both the NASDAQ and S&P 500 made new all time highs and in doing so turned the Trade Triangles back to the positive mode on both indices.

Well here we are, it's Friday, and the question is. Is this trend going to continue? I say yes, at least for now.

The only index that has not joined the party is the Dow. The problem with the Dow is that it is made up of just 30 stocks big stocks who are not seeing much growth as of late and have been somewhat hurt with the strong dollar. Unlike the NASDAQ and the S&P 500 which are much broader indices and offer a bigger cross-section of growth stocks. Continue reading "Will The NASDAQ And S&P 500 Continue To Move Higher?"

Fed Has Plenty of Excuses Not To Do Anything Soon

George Yacik - INO.com Contributor - Fed & Interest Rates


If you're among the vanishing minority of people who still think the Federal Reserve is going to start raising interest rates in June, the latest reports on the U.S. economy and events in Europe and China should disabuse you of that farfetched notion.

The proportion of economists predicting the Fed will wait until September to raise rates rose to 70% in an April 3-9 survey, more than double the figure from the previous month. That ratio has likely gotten even wider following the news of the past week, although I think it will be well after September before the Fed starts "normalizing" monetary policy.

Let's look at the U.S. economy first, where indicators continue to come in soft. Continue reading "Fed Has Plenty of Excuses Not To Do Anything Soon"