Candlestick Patterns – Kicking

Posted on by The INO.com Team

If you follow our blog, then you are definitely familiar with trader Larry Levin, President of Trading Advantage LLC. We have gotten such a great response from some of his past posts that he has agreed to share one more of his favorite trading tips as a special treat to our viewers. Determining the direction of the market can be tricky and just plain confusing at times, but Larry’s expert opinion keeps it simple and straight-to-the-point.

If you like this article, Larry’s also agreed to give you free access to his weekly trading tip.

I think it's time for another look at Japanese candlestick analysis. Let's take a closer look at kicking, widely considered a high reliability pattern in candlestick charts.

Kicking patterns are another reversal signal.

Kicking patterns on a candlestick chart are formed when there are two marubozu - one white and one black - with a gap between them. Bullish kicking patterns would present as a black or filled candlestick without any wicks (shadows) followed by a gap higher with a white or hollow candlestick that is also without wicks. These are marubozu. They are formed when the market has a particularly one-sided trading session that closes at the high or low leaving just that real body of the candlestick. Continue reading "Candlestick Patterns – Kicking" →

Charts Point To Another 5%-7% Advance Before A Correction

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By: John Kosar of Street Authority

All major U.S. indices were higher last week, led by the previously downtrodden Nasdaq 100 (+2.5%) and Russell 2000 (+2.1%). Both of these market-leading indices must continue to outperform the broad market SP 500 if last week's strength is going to become the next leg higher within the larger 2013 stock market advance. The major indices are now all in positive territory for 2014 except for the small-cap Russell 2000, which ended last week down 3.2% for the year.

From a sector standpoint, my own asset flow-based metric shows the largest inflow of investor assets over the past week went into consumer discretionary, which led all sectors with a 2.1% gain. The utilities sector had the biggest outflow of investor assets and, as would be expected, was the only sector to lose ground for the week.

Is Technology Leading the Blue-Chip Stocks Higher?
Beginning in the April 21 Market Outlook, and again in several subsequent issues, I have been discussing overhead resistance at 3,617 on the Nasdaq 100 and stating that a rise above this level was necessary to indicate that this market-leading technology index's larger November 2012 advance was resuming.

After negotiating this level for the past month, 3,617 was significantly broken to the upside last week. This clears the way for more near-term strength and a potential 2% rise to retest the 3,738 early March high.

More recently, in the May 12 and May 19 Market Outlooks, I identified an emerging pattern in the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:DIA), commonly known as the "Diamonds." The formation was a triangle, indicating investor indecision, and I said, "For the bullish implications of the pattern to remain valid, the lower boundary at $163 must contain DIA on the downside this week while it rises back above $165.51 -- and stays there." Continue reading "Charts Point To Another 5%-7% Advance Before A Correction" →

Chart of The Week - Gold

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Each Week Longleaftrading.com will be providing us a chart of the week as analyzed by a member of their team. We hope that you enjoy and learn from this new feature.

Further Downside Expected as Gold Finally Chooses Its Direction

This week's market focus turns to August Gold futures, where a break out of recent consolidation may have finally determined the near term direction of Gold. The week starts out extremely bearish for Gold as the stock market continues to establish new all-time high levels. Recent economic numbers that have missed the mark have provided additional confidence to stock market investors that FED support will continue in the stock market. Optimism that stocks can continue their higher track has taken away from the safe haven appeal of gold.

Over the past month, August Gold futures have consolidated into a very tight range as the market has been deciding on its future direction. As of this morning the direction looks to be a sell off for the foreseeable future. With a break of the recent pennant pattern at $1285, the next downside target will be $1240. A close below $1280 in today’s session would confirm a further potential downside move over the coming months.

To take advantage of this downside continuation, I would look to purchase August put option strategies in gold that would take advantage of the next potential continuation move to $1240, while allowing roughly 2 months for the strategy to work. These strategies would expire on July 28th. Per strategy used, we would look to keep the maximum exposure in the market to $500 and the maximum profit potential to $2,500.

I advise clients on trading futures and futures options markets on a day to day basis. If you have any questions regarding this chart or questions regarding trading futures and futures options, feel free to call me directly at 888-272-6926.

Thank you for your interest,
James Leeney
Account Executive
Phone: (888) 272-6926
www.longleaftrading.com

** There is a substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information and data contained in this article was obtained from sources considered reliable. Their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. Information provided in this article is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities or commodities. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this article will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction.

Gold, Silver & the Macro

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Those micro managing the precious metals are fixating on the Symmetrical Triangle (bearish continuation) and a coming 'Death Cross' of the MA 50 below the MA 200.

The Sym-Tri has been apparent for about three weeks and the Death Cross is hype put forth by those who would make grand TA statements.  The Death Cross means next to nothing.  I mean, how much good did the Golden Cross that the "community" was pumping in March end up doing?

gold

Gold is bearish and has been bearish by its technicals (below the 50 and 200 MA’s), and ever since the economic soft patch was was put behind us (cold weather, remember?) by its apparent macro fundamentals as well.  NFTRH has been keeping this situation locked down and in a box for future reference.  The box will be opened when the time is right.

Meanwhile, I'd suggest that people avoid micro managing gold.  It is not an idol or a religion, and while there is a whole industry champing at the bit to begin promoting it again, it is just a tool for retaining the value of money.  Sometimes tools sit in the toolbox.

As for silver… Continue reading "Gold, Silver & the Macro" →

Indian Stocks: You Want a REAL Opportunity? Know WHEN to Look for It

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Why the Nifty and many other emerging market stocks screamed "Buy!" three months ago

By Elliott Wave International

From Elliott Wave International's February Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast (published Feb. 7):

...Bloomberg reports that "more than $7 billion flowed from ETFs investing in developing-nation assets in January, the most since the securities were created." Such massive selling...supports our view that emerging markets are ending large-degree three-wave declines.

Conventional observers are asking the question, "Is this 1997 all over again?" (The Economist)

The way we see it, the return of such headlines in January supports another significant low now -- from a contrarian perspective.

EWI's Asian-Pacific Short Term Update editor Chris Carolan soon echoed those bullish views. Here is a forecast the APSTU made for India's Nifty Index on March 4:

The strong short-term Nifty rally has pushed prices above their upper daily Keltner channel resistance level.

Look for this [rally] up to push through the 2014 highs at 6400 in coming sessions.

The intraday Keltner channel slope is steep, indicating this trend has enough strength for sharp short-term gains.

You've already picked up on the indicators we used to turn bullish on emerging markets in general, and on India in particular: Continue reading "Indian Stocks: You Want a REAL Opportunity? Know WHEN to Look for It" →