Hello MarketClub members everywhere. This morning I learned that Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX) has 1.2 billion dollars loaded onto Starbuck's cards and their mobile app - that is more capital than almost 5,000 US banks! The other good news for Starbucks is that they are playing the 'float' which means they are getting a return on your capital much like a bank, albeit small, as interest rates are so low right now. So next time you are in Starbucks ordering your favorite cup of coffee, do yourself a favor and pay cash. Why let Starbuck's make a buck on your hard earned money?
Overseas: The German Bund yields sink to new lows and yields in both Britain and Germany fell to record lows ahead of Britain's referendum on the European Union membership later this month. All of which is not particularly positive for the US economy or today's market.
How The Markets Closed Last Friday: Every Friday I look back on the week and see where the markets closed the previous Friday. This look backwards gives me the opportunity to see whether a market is positive or negative for the week. One of the important market perceptions is to look at the comfort level of traders and investors on Friday and see if they are comfortable going into the weekend holding positions in various markets. With that said, here's how the major markets closed last Friday. Continue reading "In God We Trust - Starbucks?"→
According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), world oil inventories are about 425 million barrels higher than their “normal” levels. In the U.S., inventories stand a 1.368 billion barrels, a few million off their recent peak. Given that supply glut, how could oil futures prices be at $50 after falling below $30?
One answer is that the futures market assesses future developments. As discussed below, the peak of the glut appears behind us and the U.S. oil market is tightening, as rising demand narrows the supply-demand gap. This is best observed by looking at the trends in inventory storage changes for both petroleum products and crude oil. Continue reading "Why Oil Is At $50 With An Inventory Glut"→
Hello MarketClub members everywhere. The big question today is, who is going to say George Soros is wrong? This is the same man who bet against the Bank of England in 1993 and made over a billion dollars! That is when a billion dollars used to be worth a whole lot more than it is now.
One expression I heard many years ago in the early part of my career is, "they don't ring a bell at the top of the market." It's one of the best expressions I have ever heard in the marketplace and it's true, nobody tells you exactly when it's the top of the market.
Hello MarketClub members everywhere. This morning crude oil moved over $51 a barrel, its best level in nine months. In the last couple of years, there has been a strong correlation between the stock market and the price of crude oil. But, is that correlation about to decouple?
In today's video, I will be analyzing crude oil (NYMEX:CL.N16.E) and providing you with potential profit targets. Now that the $50 level has been breached, you can look at $50 as perhaps the new floor for crude oil. Since the beginning of the year, I have seen a fairly consistent move to the upside that many economists missed, yet the Trade Triangles have flourished with their non-opinionated approach to the market. Continue reading "Is The Stock Market Decoupling From Crude Oil?"→
Hello MarketClub members everywhere. Well, we are at the beginning of a new week on a rather unusual day when we have three sixes in the date, that's not going to happen again until the 26th or until we hit 2026. That occurrence aside, I want to take a look at all the markets and in particular, the three A's