"Silent Crash": Why the Real Value of the Dow Jones Industrials Matters

Priced in real value, the Dow has collapsed 84% since 1999

By Elliott Wave International

Stock market investors who glance at their screens see the dollar value of the Dow Industrials.

Another way -- the way Elliott Wave International (EWI) prefers -- is real value, in terms of the things you can actually buy with your Dow shares, such as real money (gold) or a basket of commodities.

Clearly, one could ask: "Why is the Dow priced in real value important? I buy things with dollars."

Let's look briefly at the nominal (dollar valued) Dow vs. the real Dow. Then we can address why the Dow measured in real value matters.

On July 16, the nominal Dow reached an all-time closing high of 17,138.20.

"The value of the real Dow is not even close. Indeed, you may be in for a shock. The Dow priced in real money-gold-topped in 1999 and has collapsed 84% since then ... . Had the U.S. maintained honest money, the Dow would be priced at 266 today ... ."

The Elliott Wave Theorist, June 2014

Robert Prechter, founder and president of EWI, calls the collapse in the real value the "Silent Crash." Continue reading ""Silent Crash": Why the Real Value of the Dow Jones Industrials Matters"

Beware of Equity Markets Going Nowhere Fast

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your video update for Monday, the 28th of April.

The current equity markets are proving to be frustrating for many traders as there has been no clear-cut direction for some time. Many of the indices are still in a trading range and could be making major tops. Don't forget, this bull market is now in its fifth year and is getting long in the tooth.

Like many investors, I am still very much concerned about events in Europe and the Ukraine. I think this is contributing to a large part of the indecision in the markets, causing them to move up one day and down next day.

Certainly there has been positive news for stocks, with earnings for many companies looking very good. There is also some disturbing news of a potential slowdown in Europe, along with some not-so-rosy guidance by several companies.

So what's an investor to do?

Continue reading "Beware of Equity Markets Going Nowhere Fast"

Proceed With Caution

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your video update for Friday, the 25th of April.

There's no question about it, these markets are in turmoil not knowing what to do. On one hand, the NASDAQ is showing a negative trend based on Trade Triangle technology, and the DOW and the S&P 500 are indicating a sideways trend at best.

Today I'm going to be looking at key areas to watch for in these markets and what to do if and when these levels are broken.

I still believe that the deal breaker in this whole equation is going to be what's happening in the Ukraine. With Putin flexing his muscles on the global stage and no one willing to stand up to him, he knows that he is going to win the game he is playing. Just yesterday, he indicated that sanctions mean nothing to him. That is the only weapon the west has or is willing to use against Russian domination of Europe. Like it or not, Putin’s aggression is going to cast a pall over all of Europe and a slowdown in business and the nascent recovery that was beginning to take place there. Continue reading "Proceed With Caution"

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Misses And The Train Wreck Continues

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your video update for Friday, the 11th of April.

The market was a little caught off guard this morning when JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) announced their earnings, which not only disappointed investors, but missed expectations by 19%. That's a lot like playing golf and missing a sure fire birdie putt.

Yesterday's market action really set the tone and the perception for today. Make no mistake about it, yesterday was a big and important day to a lot of traders.

I have talked about this many times before on this blog and that is the power of perception. The perception now in many traders' minds is that this is going to be more of a two-way street in the marketplace for stocks. Some stocks will do well, while others will fall as the perception of their growth fades in traders' minds. Continue reading "JPMorgan Chase & Co. Misses And The Train Wreck Continues"

2 Troubling Trends For Investors

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your video update for Thursday, the 20th of March.

If you have read my posts for any length of time, you will see that I frequently refer to the saying, "the trend is your friend." However in this case, there appear to be two developing trends that will offer some amazing opportunities, but at the same time create some very dangerous times for the planet.

I'm sure like many investors, you are tracking what is going on in the Ukraine and Crimea. I do not view this as a positive, in fact, I think this is a once-in-every-two-generations kind of event and a very negative trend not just for the US and Europe, but for the global community in general. Continue reading "2 Troubling Trends For Investors"