Whack-a-Mole (Japanese Nikkei is the Latest Bubble)

Alan Greenspan gave them the playbook (Credit & Debt Manipulation 101) and now Ben Bernanke and global inflators everywhere have taken the ball and run with it in new, innovative and levered up ways.  Actually it’s a game of Whack-a-Mole and they play it well, these inflating moles.  The minute you think you’re going to drop the hammer on one of their heads, he’s gone and another one pops up elsewhere.

So how can we follow all the data points that hands-on, manipulative policy has introduced and forecast conclusions with accuracy?  The answer is that it is difficult in the short-term, but in the long-term we are all dead anyway, so we might as well use some inflationary bubbles of the past as a road map to what may be ahead.

There are currently several bubbles (and one anti-bubble*) in play over varying time frames.  These bubbles are the direct result of policy actions.  Last weekend we reviewed the bubble in Japan’s Nikkei in relation to its policy-induced crashing of the Yen and then last week wouldn’t you know that the Yen caught a bid and the Nikkei suffered an incredibly bearish day? Continue reading "Whack-a-Mole (Japanese Nikkei is the Latest Bubble)"

Has the Gold Bull Market Hit a Snag?

The Gold Report: What do you think will happen to interest rates and how will that affect gold?

Tobias Tretter: I don't see interest rates increasing at all right now. The Federal Reserve is giving banks money for 0.25%. The European Central Bank (ECB) has interest rates at 0.75%. That isn't an environment with increasing interest rates. The 10-year U.S. Treasuries are at 1.85%, which is up from 1.4%, but even in 2011 we were above 3%. We are still at the lowest possible levels and I can't imagine how countries, even relatively strong ones like Germany or the United States, will thrive in an environment with increasing interest rates. It would prove too challenging and cause too much pain; therefore, interest rates will be low for a long time.

I do not believe that the end of the gold bull market is here. I agree with former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan that deficit spending is a scheme for the hidden confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious progress, he said. It stands as a protector of property rights. As long as the Fed and the ECB are printing money and as long as things like the recent Cyprus bailout continue to happen, there's absolutely no way for gold to go down for very long. Continue reading "Has the Gold Bull Market Hit a Snag?"

Beyond the "Spotlight"

For the Week of May 28, 2013 The GBE Trade Spotlight advisory service applies the GBE trading methodology (buying or selling commodity contracts based on breakouts of chart formations and technical indicators) to identify one to two trade setups per week.Highlighting This Week’s Potential Breakouts:

Let’s take a look at two energy market sector markets as we enter the “Summer Driving Season”.

July 2013 Crude Oil

Based on Cash charts, the Crude Oil contract tends to sharply drop in June, slightly retrace in July, and gradually sell-off through the remainder of the year. Even though this data was tracked over a twenty-five year period, the contract might not always follow this pattern due to fundamental and technical reasons. The July 2013 chart appears to have found resistance along an upper trend line and technically setup to sell-off. This falls right in line with the Cash chart. Continue reading "Beyond the "Spotlight""

Weekly Futures Recap W/Mike Seery

We’ve asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Grain Futures--- Grain Futures--- The grain market saw extreme volatility this week especially in the July soybeans which were up over $.50 yesterday hitting a high of 15.46 then reversing and settling unchanged settling today at 14.76 a bushel down 23 cents and has sold off 75 cents in 2 days and that tells me that there’s a possibility that this could be short term high. The November soybeans which I have talked about in previous blogs stating if prices are able to break above 12.40 a bushel hitting a 6 week high continuing its bullish trend I would advise traders to buy soybeans above that level risking $12 stop which is around $400 per mini contract as the trend continues to move higher. The U.S dollar today was slightly lower not impacting many of the commodities today except for a selected few with a really wishy-washy trend and I still think July soybeans are headed higher despite the fact of the tremendous selloff happening in the last 2 days & I think that was just profit taking and there are very few supplies to be sold and that’s the reason prices are headed higher in my opinion. Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap W/Mike Seery"

Chart to Watch - EURGBP

We've asked our friend Jim Robinson of profittrading.com to provide his expert analysis of charts to our readers. Each week he'll be be analyzing a different chart using the Trade Triangles and his experience.

Today he is going to take a look at the technical picture of the Coffee. (EURGBP).

I hope you are having a GREAT week !!!

This week let's take a look at the EURGBP.

When trading Forex we use the weekly MarketClub Trade Triangle for trend and the daily MarketClub Trade Triangle for timing. Continue reading "Chart to Watch - EURGBP"