Author: The INO.com Team

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the April contract is currently up $13 an ounce at 1,298 after settling last Friday at 1,299 unchanged even though prices settled right at session highs today. Gold prices are trading above their 20-day but still below their 100-day moving average, and if you look at the daily chart, it basically mirrors exactly what silver has been doing as prices also topped out on February 20th at 1,349 as prices have now hit a two month low this week. The volatility in gold is starting to expand as I'm currently sitting on the sidelines waiting for better chart structure to develop, but I do think the downside is limited as there is a lot of uncertainty worldwide as Europe is also lowering its growth forecasts as that could send money flows back into the gold. The U.S. dollar hit a 2-year high this week, and that is why you witnessed around a $60 sell off or 4% from recent highs as I think gold prices have held up relatively well despite that fact so look to play this to the upside in my opinion.
TREND: MIXED
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
VOLATILITY: INCREASING
Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →

Stocks Fall On Weak Jobs Report

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello traders everywhere. The three major indexes fell Friday, on pace for their worst week since December, after data showed hiring growth slowed significantly in February. The declines came after data from the Labor Department showed U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose a seasonally adjusted 20,000 in February, missing economists' expectations of 180,000 new jobs.

Still, the report wasn't all doom and gloom. The unemployment rate ticked down to 3.8% from 4% a month earlier, while wages rose 3.4% from a year earlier, the strongest pace since April 2009.

Jobs Report

For the first time since December, all three indexes will post weekly losses over -2.6%. The DOW did finish last week with a slight loss of -.02%, the s&P 500 had a weekly loss of -.22% in January, but this will be the first weekly loss for NASDAQ, breaking a 10-week winning streak. Both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ issued green monthly Trade Triangles recent, but the DOW remains in a sideline position with a red monthly Trade Triangle. Continue reading "Stocks Fall On Weak Jobs Report" →

Current Market Mood; Wait and See

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello traders everywhere. The stock market has entered into wait and see territory with stocks falling for the third straight day after a positive open to trading on Monday morning. What are traders waiting for, the next set of clues in the U.S. - China trade talks?

Earlier this week, sources told CNBC that the U.S. and China were in the "final stages" of trade talks, with the two sides planning a Mar-a-Lago summit for the end of the month. U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo also said Monday he thought Washington and Beijing were "on the cusp" of reaching a deal. So now, we wait and see.

Wait and See

The S&P 500 finally issued the new green monthly Trade Triangle that we've been waiting for at $2,813.49 in early trading Monday. However, that move higher was short lived as the S&P 500 closed lower for the day. But keep in mind that The S&P 500 has risen about 11% this year. That only leaves us with the DOW in a sidelines mode. Will we get that new monthly Trade Triangle soon or are in for a bit of a wait? Continue reading "Current Market Mood; Wait and See" →

Gold Sentiment Lesson

Posted on by The INO.com Team

[edit] an article critical of (anonymous) others is an appropriate venue to once again note publicly the biggest mistake of my own, which was an ill-conceived target of 888 on HUI last decade. I learned from that. It’s okay to admit mistakes boys. We all make ’em. But as with humility, that appears to be all too rare in the market writer world as well. It’s okay to once in a while simply state “I was wrong”.

The number in the title is in honor of the boldest forecast burped up by the gold community in February as the metal (and the miners) jerked upward and jerked the holdout would-be enthusiasts into the market. It was included in the anonymous (but real) quotes from a cautionary post last week on the Gold Bull Horns.

We also used these quotes in an NFTRH update in order to try to make a point, despite what were very short-term contrarian bullish readings that day (per Sentimentrader’s data) for junior and senior gold miners.

From the update (2.28.19)… Continue reading "Gold Sentiment Lesson" →

Best Start To The Year Since 1991

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello traders everywhere. That's right, the stock market is of off to a roaring start to the year and it is, in fact, the best start for the S&P 500 since 1991. The S&P 500 posted a gain of +2.9% for February following a gain of +7.9% in January. That's helping put December in the rearview mirror for many traders.

Not to be outdone the NASDAQ closed out the month with a 10-week winning streak, it's longest such weekly streak since 1999. On a monthly level, it posted a positive gain of +3.4% for February, backing up the +9.7% gain in January.

Then we come to the DOW which opened March trading up about 270 pts before backing off that high. The DOW posted a monthly gain of +3.6% in February continuing its positive momentum from January where it posted a +7% gain.

monthly gain

The U.S. Dollar will end the week in negative territory losing -.13%, but on a monthly level, it was able to post a gain of +.73% erasing the January loss of -.49%. Continue reading "Best Start To The Year Since 1991" →