Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Gold Futures

Gold futures in the August contract is currently trading at 1,258 an ounce after settling last Friday at 1,254 up slightly for the week still right near a 7-month low as the precious metals, in my opinion, remain very weak. As I've written about in previous blogs, I have a bearish bias towards gold prices, and I still think 1,200 is a realistic level that we could be trading at in the coming weeks. The Trump tariff situation has been established today which has been one of the main reasons why we have seen weaker commodity prices across the board over the last several weeks. Gold prices are trading far under their 20 and 100-day moving average as the trend is to the downside as demand for this precious metals is weak at the current time as silver, copper, & platinum all remain bearish trading near contract lows once again this week. As I have talked about previously, all of the interest still lies in the U.S. equity market which is slightly higher in today's trade as the U.S. employment number was very impressive. We added 213,000 jobs as money continue to flow out of gold and into the stock market, and I don't see that trend ending any time soon. If you are short a futures contract place the stop loss at the 10-day high standing at 1,274 as an exit strategy as the chart structure will also improve in next week's trade, therefore, the monetary risk will also be lowered so stay short if you already have a bearish position.
TREND: LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
VOLATILITY:INCREASING

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Molson Coors Eyeing Canadian Cannabis Partner

Analysis originally distributed on June 28, 2018 By: Michael Vodicka of Cannabis Stock Trades

October 30, 2017 was one of the best days of the year for the young cannabis industry.

That’s the date when Constellation Brands (STZ), the second-largest US beer maker, announced a 10% stake in Canopy Growth Corp. (CGC/WEED), the largest Canadian cannabis company.

It was a groundbreaking moment for the cannabis industry because it was the first time that a big alcohol company had invested directly in a cannabis company.

Not only did it give the young cannabis industry tons of credibility, it also sets the stage for big alcohol to invest billions into the cannabis industry in the next few years.

In the short run, Canopy shares jumped more than 23% in one day on the news.

In the long run, it triggered a 10-week rally in Canopy – and the entire cannabis sector – that sent shares deep into a new all-time high. Take a look. Continue reading "Molson Coors Eyeing Canadian Cannabis Partner"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the August contract settled last Friday in New York at 68.58 a barrel while currently trading at 74.11 up about $5.50 for the trading week up for the 4th consecutive session hitting a 4-year high as this is the only commodity that is experiencing a bullish trend. The next significant level of resistance is around the $80 area as I think there could be a price squeeze in the front month due to the fact that the Trump administration has stated that they will put strict tariffs on any country that buys Iranian oil coupled with the fact that OPEC only increased production by 600,000 barrels as the fundamental picture for this commodity remains very strong in my opinion. Traders reacted very positively off of the API report which was released Wednesday as we had a drawdown of about 9 million barrels as there is robust demand for oil and gasoline as we are consuming record amounts as we head into 4th of July holiday weekend with a record amount people on the roads. Oil prices are trading far above their 20 and 100-day moving average as the trend is higher and if you're extended a futures contract continue to stay long and if you are not participating wait for some price, therefore, lowering the monetary risk to enter into a bullish position. The chart structure is terrible at the current time due to the fact of the exponential run-up in prices that we have experienced over the last several days.
TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: POOR
VOLATILITY: HIGH

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Crude Oil Outperforms Stock Market

Hello traders everywhere. Crude oil outperforms stock market for the week, that's not a statement that you hear very often, but it's true this week as crude is set to have it's biggest weekly gain in over two months posting a +8% gain on the week. The reason, shrinking U.S. stockpiles, supply disruptions from Canada to Libya, tensions between Iran and the U.S. and last week's decision by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allied producers to relax supply limits.

As for Iran, if the recent re-imposition of U.S. sanctions succeeds in driving the Islamic Republic's oil exports close to zero, crude could surge to $100 a barrel, according to many analysts.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported on Wednesday that national crude stockpiles fell by 9.89 million barrels last week, the most significant decline since September 2016. Inventories in the storage hub at Cushing, Oklahoma, also declined, while domestic crude exports surged to a record.

Crude Oil Outperforms Stock Market

The stock market is closing out the week on a high note with the DOW, S&P 500 and NASDAQ all higher on the day getting a boost from the big banks and Nike, but it's still headed for weekly losses as traders are still skittish over global trade frictions.

The NASDAQ is leading the way lower with a weekly loss of -1.8% followed by the S&P 500 -.7% and the DOW standing at -.60%. The U.S. Dollar is posting a minimal gain of +.08% rebounding from last weeks loss. Gold continues to be under pressure from the bears and is down -1.23% on the week continuing it's weekly loss streak now standing at three weeks. And last, but not least we have Bitcoin which remains to be caught in the bear trap losing another -4.0% on the week and trading below the $6,000 level as we wrap up the week.

Key Levels To Watch Nest Week:

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