China 2017: More Boom Before the Bust

Lior Alkalay - INO.com Contributor - Forex


Despite the Yuan’s value recently plummeting to an eight-year low, the Chinese economy has been rather stable in the second half of 2016, manufacturing PMI held above 50 (above 50 signals expansion); exports reached $196.8 Bln in November(from $176.2 Bln in January); and in industrial production growth averaged 6.14% Year over Year.

Together, these changes all represent a strong indicator of growth - and of bounce-back - and all thanks to the Yuan. Or more accurately, to the Yuan meltdown. Even as the Chinese Yuan shed more than 7.1% this year, it allowed China’s exports to rebound and stabilize industrial and manufacturing production. But all that stability comes at a stiff price, down the line.

While a weaker Yuan helps exporting sectors, it causes problems in China’s domestic economy. In it, an exceptionally weak currency has the same impact as monetary easing, creating an inverse relationship where, when the Yuan’s value is eroded, China’s housing bubble swells.

The more China’s housing bubble swells, the more its debt problem becomes acute. And, ultimately, the more painful its bust will be. Continue reading "China 2017: More Boom Before the Bust"

Merry Christmas To All Of Our Traders Blog Visitors!

Merry Christmas From MarketClubWith all the hustle and bustle, it's sometimes difficult to remember the real reason for the season. But regardless of what you believe and what religion you practice, if any, we hope you find yourself surrounded by love. The INO.com staff is very appreciative of your interest and we love having you return to our blog time and time again.

As you share a meal, or a gift, please reflect on all you have despite the many things you hope that 2017 will bring. Merry Christmas to you and we are excited to help you build your financial goals and trading confidence.

If you don't celebrate Christmas, please accept our most genuine wishes for any happy holiday and a prosperous new year!

Best,
The INO.com Team


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Saudi Arabia Assumes $55 Oil Price in 2017

Robert Boslego - INO.com Contributor - Energies


Saudi Arabia's energy minister, Khalid Al-Falih, clarified his position on the cuts and oil price target. After the meeting with non-OPEC producers, there was a press conference, and the media reported that he had implied Saudi Arabia would make deeper cuts than agreed at the OPEC meeting. Also many commentators seem to think Saudi Arabia’s price objective is in the $60s or $70s.

But in conjunction with announcing Saudi Arabia's 2017 budget, Mr. Al-Falih said that the kingdom sees no need for addition production cuts than the ones already pledged by the OPEC and some non-OPEC producers. He said the market intervention is intended only to "nudge along" the re-balancing of an oversupplied global oil market. He said he expects oil prices to rise "tangibly" from the 2016 average, and assumes oil will average $55 in 2017 and $61 in 2018. OPEC's Reference Basket (ORB) was $52.25 on December 21st, so it appears prices are close to where he expects them to average next year.

OPEC Basket Price Crude Oil

Economists have estimated that the new Saudi 2017 budget is based on oil prices in a range of $47 to $55/b. Al-Falih said that the budgeted oil price is a "conservative" scenario. Continue reading "Saudi Arabia Assumes $55 Oil Price in 2017"

4 Cannabis Stocks With The Best Chance To Be The Next Starbucks

Analysis originally distributed on December 14, 2016 By: Michael Vodicka of Cannabis Stock Trades

Back in 1991, very few people had heard of a company called Starbucks.

After all, what kind of fool would pay more than $2 for a cup of coffee? Particularly when you could brew a cup at home.

Today, Starbucks is a billion-dollar global leader and one of the most recognized consumer brands in the world. Early investors have been rewarded with life-changing gains.

Shares are up almost 17,000% in the last 25 years. Investing $10,000 at the IPO in 1991 would be worth $1.7 million today. $25,000 would have grown into $4.4 million. Take a look at the big gains below. Continue reading "4 Cannabis Stocks With The Best Chance To Be The Next Starbucks"

High-Quality Secured Puts Yield 20% Return

Overview

I’ve written many articles highlighting the advantages options trading and how this technique, when deployed in opportunistic or conservative scenarios may augment overall portfolio returns while mitigating risk in a meaningful manner. Timing the market has proven to be very difficult if not altogether impossible. However creating opportunities to lock-in the downward movement in a given stock one is looking to own is possible. If a stock of interest has substantially fallen to near a 52-week low, then one has an option to “buy” the stock at an even lower price at a later date while collecting premium income in the process. Alternatively, it's also possible to make money on the option itself without owning any shares of the company via realizing options premium gains as the underlying stock appreciates in value off its lows. This is called a covered or secured put option, covered in the sense that one has cash to back the option contract. Leveraging covered or secured put options in opportunistic scenarios may augment overall portfolio returns while mitigating risk when looking to initiate a future position in an individual stock or looking to make money on the potential appreciation without owning the stock. In the event of a covered put, this is accomplished by leveraging the cash one currently has by selling a put contract against those funds for a premium. Why buy a stock now when you can purchase the stock in the future at a lower price while being paid to do so? Why buy stocks at all when you can make money on the underlying volatility without ever owning the shares? Continue reading "High-Quality Secured Puts Yield 20% Return"