Is The Yield Curve Really Flattening?

There is a lot of talk now about a flattening of the yield curve.  This talk has been among the most intense right here at the website you are reading at this moment.  A flattening curve is commonly viewed as bad for gold, and according to Mark Hulbert, is an indicator of a coming recession.

But is the curve really flattening or is this all hype based on Janet Yellen's press conference comments?  Here is a chart the likes of which we have been using in NFTRH for many months now, the 30 year vs. the 5 year yield.

30.5

Here we should lend some perspective.  Okay Beuller, I ask you what is different this time from the last flattening? Continue reading "Is The Yield Curve Really Flattening?"

Are The Markets Just Teasing Us?

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, President of INO.com and co-creator of MarketClub, with your video update for Wednesday, the 26th of March.

It would appear as though most of the major indices have just been spinning their wheels and going nowhere fast in the past 4 to 5 weeks as they have all been in a broad trading range. This type of market action can lull investors to complacency, but for me it has always been a wake-up call to pay close attention to the market as something big is going to happen.

As I see it, the market is doing one of two things, it's either building a base to move higher or it's a distribution top – only time will tell which is the correct answer.

One of our members suggested that the Dow 30 could be making an inverse head and shoulders formation. Certainly this is possible, but I need to see a clear breakout to the upside to confirm this formation.

The other concern I have is the damage done to the NASDAQ earlier this week as it fell to a 6-week low. How this particular index closes on Friday is going to be very important in my mind. Again, I will be watching this market very closely for signs of either a continuation of the bullish trend or a top. Continue reading "Are The Markets Just Teasing Us?"

Get Out Of Gold Stocks -- Right Now

Few investments are driven by psychology and fear as much as gold. Concerns about ruinous inflation, global tensions or economic instability can send investors out of stocks and right into the seemingly safe harbor of gold.

Is the fear trade back on? A double-digit rebound in gold prices since the year began has led some investors to wonder if gold is poised for a great 2014 after a dismal slump in 2013 when gold prices fell more than $400 an ounce. Junior gold miners have fared even better: The Market Vectors Junior Gold Miner ETF (NYSE: GDXJ) is up roughly 35% in the past three months.

Much of the impetus for an upward move in gold prices was the building tensions in Ukraine, which led to concerns about potential military escalation. It's now apparent that financial sanctions, and not a deepening of a war posture, will characterize the hardening Russia/European Union relationship, and the risk factor is slowly receding. Continue reading "Get Out Of Gold Stocks -- Right Now"

Apple Is Trending Higher While Amazon Is Trending Lower, Why?

Yesterday, the Trade Triangle technology flashed two important signals for two major stocks.

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) triggered a new green weekly Trade Triangle, signaling that the upward trend was resuming. This signal pushed all of Apple’s Trade Triangles into the green column, indicating that higher prices could be ahead for this stock.

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) triggered a new red weekly Trade Triangle, indicating prices should be going lower. This signal pushed all of Amazon’s Trade Triangles into the red column, suggesting downside pressure is ahead for this stock.

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) - Major Trend Bullish

New Green Weekly Trade Triangle on 3/24/14 at $539.66

Apple, who has enjoyed remarkable "rock star status" in the past, has really fallen into a sort of pedestrian-type mentality and doesn't seem to have the cachet that it once enjoyed. However, the chart formation that Apple is coming out of indicates the potential for another big move up to the $700 a share level. Perhaps this has to do with the potential partnership with Comcast or some new technology that we have yet to see.

I like the overall chart pattern on Apple and the continuation Trade Triangle breakout to the upside. I also like the fact that the major support, which was the previous high seen in September of last year, also represented a major Fibonacci support zone for this stock. My analysis on Apple would change should it move below the $520 level and major support at $500.

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) - Major Trend Bearish

New Red Weekly Trade Triangle on 3/24/14 at $354.48

Continue reading "Apple Is Trending Higher While Amazon Is Trending Lower, Why?"

Obama Gives Putin A Billion Dollars!

A friend sent this to me over the weekend, I thought you might find the premise interesting.

Adam

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The Ukraine buys almost all its energy (natural gas) from Russia. Revenues from natural gas sales are a primary source of income for Russia.

Because of the recent disagreement between the Ukraine and Russia, Russia is raising the price of the natural gas it sells to the Ukraine.

The Ukraine is almost broke and can't afford the increase in the natural gas price because it would be forced into bankruptcy.

Obama just announced the United States is giving the Ukraine $1 billion to assist in paying for the higher priced natural gas it buys from Russia. Continue reading "Obama Gives Putin A Billion Dollars!"