Dollar Falls As U.S. GDP Disappoints

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. Once again the U.S. economy was sluggish in the spring, dashing expectations for a strong rebound after a tough winter. Stronger consumer spending was offset by weakness in housing construction and a big slowdown in the pace that businesses restocked store shelves.

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The Commerce Department said Friday that the GDP grew at a 1.2% annual rate in the April-June quarter. That was far below the 2.6% GDP growth rate that economists had been forecasting.

The government also revised its estimate of first-quarter growth down to 0.8% from the previously reported 1.1%. That makes three straight quarters in which the economy has grown at a lackluster rate.

Key levels to watch next week: Continue reading "Dollar Falls As U.S. GDP Disappoints"

Decision Day For The Federal Reserve

Global stocks rose as Apple's results lifted technology shares, while the Yen dropped after the prime minister had signaled he was committed to a $265 billion stimulus package. Here in the U.S, Treasuries and stocks are little changed as investors await the Federal Reserve's latest assessment of the economy.

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All signs point to The U.S. Federal Reserve keeping interest rates on hold today, but investors will be looking for hints about the Feds next move.

The next move is still seen as an increase in rates. But even as concerns over Brexit ease the U.S. election is drawing closer, likely pushing back action towards the end of the year and possibly limiting the Fed to a single hike in 2016, a far cry from its early-year estimate for four moves.

Key levels to watch this week: Continue reading "Decision Day For The Federal Reserve"

Stocks Edge Higher On Mixed Earnings

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. As we wrap up the week Stocks are heading slightly higher today and looking to close out the week on a high note. The rally has been led by the telecom sector. AT&T Inc. (NYSE:T) was up 1.5 percent after its earnings results. Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ) rose 1 percent as news broke that Verizon is the front-runner for Yahoo's core business after outbidding others including AT&T. Conversely Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ:YHOO) was up 1 percent as well.

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Looking ahead to next week the question is, what will the Fed do? All signs point to The U.S. Federal Reserve keeping interest rates on hold Wednesday, but investors will be looking for hints about the Feds next move.

The next move is still seen as an increase in rates. But even as concerns over Brexit ease the U.S. election is drawing closer, likely pushing back action towards the end of the year and possibly limiting the Fed to a single hike in 2016, a far cry from its early-year estimate for four moves.

Key levels to watch this week: Continue reading "Stocks Edge Higher On Mixed Earnings"

We May Have To Adjust Some Positions In Here

Doing some tape reading today we notice a clear theme of energy, material, and metals leading us higher, but what's happening with tech and consumer discretionary? We then dive into the Elliott Wave and Fibonacci analysis of the S&P, which further suggests it might be time to move.

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Plan Your Trade, and Trade Your Plan,
Todd Gordon

The Dollar Index: Make Or Break?

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In this post, I would like to offer a global outlook for the gauge of the most financial assets, for the US dollar via its index DXY.

It is important to understand the global trend for the dollar to plan our precious metals strategy. I've included four charts below with different periods of observations and you can judge for yourself what you are after.

Chart 1. Dollar Index Monthly (1985-2016): Looks Bad!

Dollar Index Monthly
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

On the monthly chart above, we see that the dollar dropped from the 125+ levels, then made a correction to the blue A point at the 121 level. After that, from 2001, we saw another massive sell-off of 51 points down to the 70 level in he notorious 2008. Continue reading "The Dollar Index: Make Or Break?"