Realized 14% Gain After Netflix's Recent Beat - Without Owning Shares

Introduction

Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) recently reported stellar quarterly numbers alongside robust subscriber growth that propelled the shares from ~$100 to $120 by the next day and ultimately to $130 within a few days (Figure 1). Netflix announced that it brought in 370 thousand net subscribers in the U.S. during Q3 while posting only 160 thousand net subscribers during the previous quarter. Furthermore, its international strength was very robust, adding 3.2 million against a 2.0 million consensus. Netflix’s guidance was higher than most estimates as well coming in 520 thousand and 3.75 million subscribers domestically and internationally, respectively. I’ve written a series of articles highlighting ways to leverage options trading to augment a long position or potentially entering into a position in Netflix. I’ve highlighted ways in which one can layer in covered calls to mitigate risk in a long position as well as utilizing secured puts to enter into a position at a lower price or avoid owning the stock altogether while making money. I’ll discuss my covered call/secured put combination strategy to unlock additional value, mitigate risk and generate income. I’ll break this strategy out into segments to exemplify the power of options when dealing with an intrinsically volatile stock with significant upside potential such as Netflix. In brief, I’ve realized a 13.2% gain relative to a -3.1% loss based on the traditional buy and hold strategy based on the closing price on 11Nov16 of ~$115.

Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) Chart
Figure 1 – Netflix’s upward movement after announcing numbers that beat analysts’ expectations

Overview

Netflix is a highly volatile stock with a 52-week range of $80-$133 per share or a $53 per share range. Layered within that range are swings of $10 per share or more (~10%) throughout the course of any given day. These swings to the upside or downside can be difficult to stomach especially after the most recent earnings announcement where the stock cratered by $15 per share in one day (~$100 to $85). There’s no disputing the fact that Netflix has an outrageous valuation and a wide range of intrinsic volatility. Case in point, a $20 move per share was witnessed the day after Netflix beat expectations when they announced Q3 numbers. This intrinsic volatility is more pronounced during any major news story (i.e. expansion into international markets or subscriber price increases) and specifically around earnings announcements. As a result of the nosebleed valuation and volatility, in my opinion, options are a great companion when committing capital to Netflix stock. Continue reading "Realized 14% Gain After Netflix's Recent Beat - Without Owning Shares"

Politically-Driven S.O.D. (Sons of Druckenmiller) To Lose Again

By: Gary Tanashian of biiwii.com

You know who they are; they are the ones who denied and denied the ginned up bull market in US stocks that nearly tripled under the socialist regime, circa 2009-2016.  They are the ones who clung to gold well past the caution point last summer.  They are (yes, it’s another snappy buzz phrase to either entertain, bore or annoy you… ) the S.O.D., AKA the Sons of Druckenmiller, AKA politically biased and newly activated market participants.  Reference…

Druckenmiller:  Get out of the stock market, own gold (this helped load the boat full of ill-fated gold bugs in the spring).

The night Trump was elected president, Stanley Druckenmiller dumped gold (this signaled the beginning of reparations to gold’s sentiment profile).  He also became very bullish on the stock market; go figure.

Still feel like following the MSM and these media stars they shove down gullible peoples’ throats?

So the well known and much respected Druck was bullish on gold and bearish on the US stock market until he famously flipped his script literally upside down in a knee-jerked response to the presidential election, which cast off the commies and brought in a man who promised to ‘reshore’ America’s outsourced industries (folks, the smoke stacks are gone and they are not coming back, although more Robots may well be, in time).*  He has promised to cut taxes including especially, corporate taxes, and he has promised myriad other fixes to help the economy trickle down to the long-abused middle class. Continue reading "Politically-Driven S.O.D. (Sons of Druckenmiller) To Lose Again"

Happy Thanksgiving From INO.com

Happy Thanksgiving From INO.com"We must find the time to stop and thank the people who make a difference in our lives."
- John F. Kennedy

Happy Thanksgiving to all you from everyone here at INO.com. We hope that you have a great day with your friends and family.

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Preview Issue #5 - The Political Seesaw, Proposition 61 Defeated and Notable Earnings

INO Health & Biotech Stock Guide

Preview Issue #5 - November 10th, 2016

BIOTECH, HEALTH & PHARMA NEWS

THE POLITICAL SEESAW

Political uncertainty has roiled the markets as of late with initial predictions pricing-in a Clinton victory. As election night unfolded and a Trump victory was evident, the markets responded negatively in pre-market trading with the Dow dropping over 700 points. Upon the realization that Trump was in fact the president-elect, the markets bounced back and the Dow ended the day up ~300 points. In particular, healthcare related stocks from pharmaceutical companies to pharmacies and the wholesalers in-between all notched significant gains as traders viewed a republican controlled government in positive light with regard to this sector. The iShares NASDAQ Biotechnology Index (Ticker IBB) registered a $25 per share or 9% gain on the election news. It appears that investors are factoring-in a healthcare-friendly government that will be in contrast to the likes of Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders with regard to mergers and acquisitions and governmental regulations throughout the industry.

Continue reading "Preview Issue #5 - The Political Seesaw, Proposition 61 Defeated and Notable Earnings"

3 ETFs Investors in Their 40s Should Buy

Matt Thalman - INO.com Contributor - ETFs


Ok, so maybe you are late to the ball game, or you have been fiercely investing your whole adult life but still feel like you don’t have enough, but want to protect what you do have. If your age starts with a -4-, you likely know what I am talking about. I recently wrote a piece discussing a few of my favorite Exchange Traded Funds geared for all investors. Now I am working through different age groups and pointing out some of my favorite ETFs that are more focused on each age group based on where investors are in their life cycle, their interests, and their investing temperament and goals.

Over the past few months, I began writing about different ETFs geared towards investors in different age groups. I have a piece for those in their 20's, a piece for those in their 30's, and today we are going to focus on ETF options for those in their 40's. One of the main difference between an investor in their 20's or 30's and someone in their 40's or older is 'time.' When you are young, you have all the time in the world, but as you get older, the time you have becomes more important.

So while a 20-year-old will and should take more risks with their investments, a 40-year-old needs to be slightly more conservative. But let's not forget you still have 20 years or more to save and give time for what you do have grow and then maybe another 30 years after that to live off your investment nest egg. So while you want to put a larger percentage of your money in safer bets, we don’t yet need to start a full-on conservation investment strategy.

With that information in mind, let's take a look at a few ETF's best suited for those in their 40's. Continue reading "3 ETFs Investors in Their 40s Should Buy"