Political Posturing Continues To Pummel Biotech

Noah Kiedrowski - INO.com Contributor - Biotech


As the political cycle matures in 2016, the political posturing continues to plague the entire healthcare cohort. Utilizing the biotech sector and drug pricing as a scapegoat for political gains has translated into the sector posting sharp declines over the past year. Using the iShares Biotechnology Index ETF (PACF:IBB) as a proxy for the biotechnology sector, this cohort has fallen from $401 in July of 2015 to $240 in February of 2016 or alternatively a 40% decline. This sharp decline coincided with heated political rhetoric aimed at the collective cohort of healthcare and more specifically biotech-related companies. This cynical sentiment by political frontrunners was largely rooted in the pricing of drugs. It’s noteworthy to highlight that this specific segment of the industry (i.e. drugs) comprises less than 10% of the total cost of healthcare. As candidate threats via legislative action geared towards reining in the costs of drugs unfolded, these actions negatively reverberated through healthcare and biotech stocks alike. The political posturing surrounding potential plans to reign in drug costs are now largely priced into many stocks within the healthcare umbrella. I contend that after the roughly year-long political sell-off the biotech cohort looks attractive at these levels. Once the political cycle is complete later this year, these stocks will likely benefit from the mere absence of political headwinds. Taken together along with the difficulty of enacting any legislative action to regulate the industry this may represent a buying opportunity that’s been presented by extraneous political events. Continue reading "Political Posturing Continues To Pummel Biotech"

Sun Tzu and the Art of War for Traders

The original Art of War is a compilation of lessons written and taught by Sun Tzu, a sixth century B.C. Chinese General/ Philosopher. Its wisdom is timeless and has grown in popularity. It is, in fact, required reading at every military academy in the world and can be found in most corporate boardrooms.

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Best,
The INOTV Team

This Rally Will Come To An End Very Soon

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. It's Friday and a lot is going on in the markets. I believe that the sharp rally in the indices will fizzle out in the next five days and they will move into a trading range before heading lower.

The reason I say that is because all three major indices are in what I call "thin air". What that means is that they are all above their 50% Fibonacci retracement levels and close to their 61.8% major resistance areas.

Here are the areas for the DOW, NASDAQ and the S&P 500. Continue reading "This Rally Will Come To An End Very Soon"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the April contract is now trading above its 20-day but still below its 100-day telling you that the short-term trend is mixed as I was recommending a short position getting stopped out around the $35 level taking a relatively small loss as prices are hovering right near a 4 week high. Crude oil prices settled in New York last Friday at 32.78 a barrel while currently trading at 34.75 up about $2 despite the fact of a the huge build in crude oil inventories which generally puts pressure on prices, but that may have already been factored into the price as all the bearish news is pretty much baked into the cake. Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Speculative Bets On The Aussie To Rise?

Lior Alkalay - INO.com Contributor - Forex


Ever since China's stock woes escalated it seems all commodity-related trades have sunk under water. The Aussie took a nose dive vs. the two dominant safe havens, i.e. the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen, and turned range bound vs. the Kiwi.

In the not too distant past, there had been some signs of a tentative recovery in the Aussie. However, those signs quickly became mixed messages, offering nothing but false hope. Simply put, China continued to lose its grip on its financial system. Now, as always, China has been the wild card for the Aussie. We've already elaborated on the fact that China can't keep the Yuan high; at best, it can only slow its depreciation. But can China's latest actions be the springboard for the Aussie to rally? Continue reading "Speculative Bets On The Aussie To Rise?"