It's A Leap Year So Watch Out!

In Ireland, February 29 is Bachelor's Day - a traditional holiday when women propose to men. Scotland began the tradition in 1288 by passing a law permitting women to propose and if refused, the man had to pay a fine. Only in Europe.

Leap years are also election years, as every politician knows, four years is just enough time for the electorate to forget all their broken promises from last time around. Plus, we all must take a giant leap of faith when you go to the polls.

Okay, back to the markets. It is hard to believe that we are rapidly coming to the end of the second full trading month of 2016. The first two months have been extraordinarily volatile with triple digit swings becoming the norm. As we move into March, I expect to see the markets begin to settle down somewhat.

So what's trending so far in 2016? Continue reading "It's A Leap Year So Watch Out!"

Into Thin Air...

Into Thin Air is a best-selling non-fiction book of the 1996 Mt. Everest Disaster written by Jon Krakauer. His book was later made into a movie called Everest which gives a chilling visual account of events that took place on the world's tallest mountain. The phrase "into thin air" refers to the altitude and the lack of oxygen at the summit of Mount Everest. Humans can only stay at the summit of Mount Everest for a brief amount of time before the lack of oxygen will cause them to die.

That is sort of how I feel about the markets right now and this particular rally. The major indices without oxygen (in this case, super bullish news) are going to fail. That is how I feel now, but overriding any emotional feeling I have will be the non-emotional Trade Triangles. At the moment, both the Dow and the S&P 500 are indicating a sidelines position. Only the NASDAQ has both the weekly and monthly Trade Triangles indicating a downtrend. Continue reading "Into Thin Air..."

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the April contract settled last Friday in New York at 31.75 a barrel while currently trading at 33.90 near a 3 week high as I’m sitting on the sidelines in this market at the current time. In last week’s blog, I was looking to short this market, but I decided against that as a short term bottom has taken place as prices are now trading above their 20 but still below their 100-day moving average as it looks like a bottoming formation is at hand. The S&P 500 has exploded in the last week helping support crude oil prices as it certainly looks like the worldwide nervousness is finished at least for now so look for higher prices ahead, however the chart structure is poor as the 10 day low is too far away as the risk/reward is not in your favor so look at other markets with better potential. This market has been extremely choppy over the last month or so as oversupply issues continue to keep a lid on prices and I think that will remain over the next several months as production cuts are needed therefore decreasing supply as demand still remains relatively high especially at these cheap levels. At the current time, Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

If It Walks Like A Duck, Quacks Like A Duck, It's A Duck!

Hello MarketClub members everywhere! As the month of February rapidly comes to an end in just three trading days, I thought it would be interesting to look at where the markets closed at the end of January, which as you know was a very volatile month.

So here the closing values of the major indices, gold and crude oil on January 29th: Continue reading "If It Walks Like A Duck, Quacks Like A Duck, It's A Duck!"