Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 46.90 a barrel while currently trading at 48.60 up about $1.70 for the trading week continuing its remarkable bullish run over the last 3 months. At the current time, I’m sitting on the sidelines in the crude oil. I did miss this move to the upside as prices bottomed out in early January around the $32 level while now trading almost at $50 in a remarkable turn of events. However, the 10 day low is too far away, therefore, risking too much money so I will look at other markets with better risk/reward scenarios at present. Crude oil is trading far above it's 20 and 100-day moving average telling you that short-term trend is to the upside as I’m certainly not recommending any type of short position as that would be counter trend trading which is a bad idea over the course of time. It will be very interesting to see if rig counts start to increase as they had been coming down over the last year, but now prices have rallied substantially so it will be interesting to see if those corporations start pumping more oil. Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Pro-Inflation? Anti-USD?

By: Gary Tanashian of Biiwii.com

This is the opening segment from the May 15 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 395.  I am releasing it for public viewing because it seems, the title’s question has come roaring to the forefront this week.  So the information (including the charts) is slightly dated, but becoming intensely relevant as of now.

We anticipated an ‘inflation trade’ or Anti-USD asset market bounce and this has been going on since mid-February. That was when silver wrestled leadership from the first mover, gold (which bottomed in December and turned up in January), and a whole host of other global asset markets began to rise persistently.

gold.spx.crb.silver.eem

So why again did the US stock market react negatively to good economic data on Friday? Continue reading "Pro-Inflation? Anti-USD?"

Is The Stock Market Bull About To Become Hamburger?

The Fed talked a tough game yesterday about possible interest rate increases. Interest rate sensitive sectors got stampeded today threatening a possible end to the 7-year charge. We look at some key market setups and option trades for the next move...

Learn more about TradingAnalysis.com here.

Plan Your Trade, and Trade Your Plan,
Todd Gordon

Two Companies Poised To Catch Up To Gold Peer Group

After a mad dash to the upside for gold and a similar dash to the downside for the U.S. dollar, investors are getting their bearings once again. April's disappointing jobs report refocused everyone on the potential economic slowdown and a still-dovish Fed. Brien Lundin of Gold Newsletter paints the big picture of how speculation over the Fed's actions to raise interest rates is affecting gold and gold equities, and he discusses two companies that have not appreciated as much as their peers but are likely to soon catch up.

Pershing Gold's Resource Base

Gold and gold stocks have maintained their gains since early May. And it's largely due to a significant downside miss in the nonfarm payrolls report for April: Against consensus expectations of 205,000 jobs created in the month, April's number came in at just 160,000 jobs. It wasn't quite as bad as the headline number may indicate: Average hourly earnings rose by 8 cents (0.3%), while the average work week added 0.1 hour.

"Gold and gold stocks have maintained their gains since early May."

Still, in an interview recently on CNBC, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Dennis Lockhart volunteered a 200,000-job benchmark as a level that would be conducive to further Fed rate hikes. The miss on jobs, combined with dismal, 0.5% GDP growth for the first quarter, should put a stake in the heart of hopes for a rate hike at the Fed's mid-June meeting. Continue reading "Two Companies Poised To Catch Up To Gold Peer Group"

Will They Or Won't They?

The Federal Reserve will release their minutes from April's FOMC meetings on Wednesday at 2 p.m. The notes should shed some light on whether they are leaning towards raising interest rates or leaving them as is again.

Even though there hasn't been any recent public comments from Fed Chair, Janet Yellen, or Stanely Fischer, several regional Fed presidents have said as recently as last week that a move could be possible in June or July. Keep an eye out as Yellen speaks at Harvard University on May 27th and Fischer delivers remarks Thursday in New York.

What do you think?

Will the Fed raise interest rates in June?

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Key levels to watch this week:
S&P 500 (CME:SP500): 2,099.89
Dow (INDEX:DJI): 18,084.66
NASDAQ (NASDAQ:COMP): 4,915.00
Gold (FOREX:XAUUSDO): 1,264.34
Crude Oil (NYMEX:CL.M16.E): 45.75
U.S. Dollar (NYBOT:DX.M16.E): 95.10

Every Success,
Jeremy Lutz
INO.com and MarketClub.com