Top Fiat Currencies vs. Gold in 2021: "The Last Shall Be First"

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

It is time for a traditional yearly post to find out which fiat could beat the conventional store of value this year; all failed last year.

Seven currencies represent the fiat money: U.S. dollar (USD) and six components of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) placed by weight: Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen (JPY), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish Krona (SEK) and the Swiss Franc (CHF).

Let us see below how you predicted the future back at the end of December 2020.

Currency

Most of you picked Bitcoin, aka 'digital gold,' to win the race. You were right again; Bitcoin gained more than 80% against the gold this time. I will build a separate leaderboard for cryptos in coming posts as the main coin has its universe with a pack of newbies trying to claim the throne, so stay tuned.

The regular favorite, the U.S. dollar, was the second choice this year. The third bet was not obvious to me as the Swiss franc usually has been lost in the shadows somewhere between regular champions and exotic bets. Continue reading "Top Fiat Currencies vs. Gold in 2021: "The Last Shall Be First"" →

The Anti-ARK (or Anti-Cathie Woods) ETF

Posted on by Matt Thalman

Over the past few years, Cathie Woods has made a name for herself. It started with her ARK Invest flagship Exchange Traded Fund the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), which returned an astonishing 45% annually for five years straight. Her other Ark Invest funds had similar success, and regularly these funds would rank in the top 10 of the best performing non-leveraged equity ETFs investors could buy.

Cathie became more of a household name when she not only went on CNBC years ago and said she thought Tesla was a $2,000 stock (this was prior to Tesla splitting), and she was proven correct. When she made this claim, her Ark funds were doing well, but most investment insiders thought she was crazy and that her prediction for Tesla would never come true. So, when she was proven correct, everyone started watching what she was doing and either trying to copy her or attempting to bet against her.

Copying what she was doing was and still is easy since her fund publishes the daily trades they made during the previous session. Not only do they publish the stocks they sold and bought, but how many shares of each company they traded. For a time, the morning show on CNBC would review her previous days' trades and discuss whether or not they agreed with what her funds were buying and selling.

Some would say that Cathie's luck has now run out because while for years she had some of the top-performing ETFs, 2021 has not been so kind to her. Continue reading "The Anti-ARK (or Anti-Cathie Woods) ETF" →

Merry Christmas From INO.com

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Wow, how are we almost at the end of December?

Our office will be closed on December 24, along with the U.S. exchanges. We'll be back on Monday morning.

No matter what you celebrate (if anything at all), our entire team wishes you health and happiness. We hope you get to spend time with family and friends, truly the greatest gifts.

If you haven't joined MarketClub during the MarketClub Holiday Deal, you still have time. This great rate (only available until December 31) is our gift to you.

Again, our team will be back next week to help with any questions.

As always, thank you and best wishes,
The INO.com Team

Copper/Gold Ratio At Epic Decision Point

Posted on by Gary Tanashian

Copper/Gold ratio teases cyclical inflation bulls and bears alike, but… it’s going to break one way or the other soon enough.

If you value gold’s standing in relation to industrial metals as a key market/financial/economic indicator as I do, then you view the ongoing consolidation in the copper price to the gold price as a key indicator (among several NFTRH tools) going forward.

I cannot make the macro do what I want it to do, but I sure can be super interested in an indicator that has made several false moves to the positive and negative sides in 2021 as we head into a year of changes to come (one way or another) in 2022. Cu/Au is making less and less volatile spikes and drops as it is currently pinched between the converging daily SMA 50 and 200.

They call him Doctor Copper because in the post-2000 world of Inflation onDemand © 🙂 (as originally concocted by the Maestro himself, Alan Greenspan and expanded ever so maniacally by Ben Bernanke on through the current Fed regime), the cyclical economic doctor metal is a key foil to the counter-cyclical monetary historian metal. Continue reading "Copper/Gold Ratio At Epic Decision Point" →

Powell Wimps Out

Posted on by George Yacik

Pretty much as expected, the Federal Reserve last week said that, in the face of rising inflation and a booming economy and job market, it would further reduce its purchases of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities and raise interest rates.

But not yet.

Beginning in January, the Fed said it will be buying $60 billion in bonds a month, which is down 50% from the original schedule of $120 billion a month and its recently reduced plan of $90 billion, announced only a month ago. Which means the program will end next March, as opposed to the original termination date of June, at which time the Fed expects to start raising interest rates unless something happens in the meantime.

The Fed is projecting three 25 basis-point increases in its federal funds rate next year, followed by three more in 2023 and two more in 2024. That would put the fed funds rate in a range of 1.4% to 1.9% at the end of 2023, up from a range of 0.4% to 1.1% in its previous projection in September. The current rate, of course, is 0.1%, or near zero. Continue reading "Powell Wimps Out" →