The Dollar Takes 'EM Down

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Dear readers, I am very grateful to get all your feedback and suggestions that you kindly share with me all the time! Rasesh Shukla, one of our regular readers asked about the Emerging market currencies and particularly about Indian rupee in a comment this month. And I am pleased to share my thoughts with all of you in this post.

Chart 1. 5-Year Dynamics of Top FX vs. EM FX

5-Year Dynamics of Top FX vs. EM FX
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

I want to start with the comparison chart of the top currencies presented by inverse dollar index, consisting of 6 currencies: Euro, Japanese Yen, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, Swedish Krona and Swiss Franc (orange line) versus the emerging market currencies presented by WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Fund (CEW, green line). The former is quite representative, it tracks the value of the following 15 currencies: Mexican Peso, Brazilian Real, Chilean Peso, Colombian Peso, South African Rand, Polish Zloty, Russian Ruble, Turkish New Lira, Chinese Yuan, South Korean Won, Indonesian Rupiah, Indian Rupee, Malaysian Ringgit, Philippine Peso and Thai Baht. Continue reading "The Dollar Takes 'EM Down"

Stocks Struggle To Find Direction

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. As we start the week, it looks as if the market is still trying to digest what the Federal Reserve said in its meeting minutes last week. All eyes will be on the housing, PMI and wage numbers due this week as well as commentary for the regional Fed Chiefs. The Regional Fed chiefs for St. Louis, San Francisco, and Philadelphia are due to speak Monday, while Chair Janet Yellen is due to deliver remarks on Friday.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

The big mover of the day is Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL). It's jumped over 1.5% on rumors of large iPhone 7 orders and after Taiwan's Economic Daily News reported that the iPhone maker has asked suppliers to prepare production for a new version of its smartphones.

Key levels to watch this week: Continue reading "Stocks Struggle To Find Direction"

Two Overlooked Streaming Stocks with Huge Upside Potential

Streaming/royalty stocks have been darlings of the commodity investment world. In the precious metals sector, this type of company provides financing for mining companies in the form of an upfront cash payment in exchange for a percentage of production or revenues from the mine. Jason Hamlin of Gold Stock Bull profiles two streamers often overlooked by investors.

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The main difference between a streaming company and royalty company is that a royalty is cash paid as a percentage of revenue, while a stream involves the actual delivery of physical metal to the holder of the streaming agreement. The finance model has also been called a volumetric production payment transaction and originated in the oil and gas sector.

Advantages of the Streaming/Royalty Model

There are considerable advantages of a streaming/royalty business model including: Continue reading "Two Overlooked Streaming Stocks with Huge Upside Potential"

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 46.90 a barrel while currently trading at 48.60 up about $1.70 for the trading week continuing its remarkable bullish run over the last 3 months. At the current time, I’m sitting on the sidelines in the crude oil. I did miss this move to the upside as prices bottomed out in early January around the $32 level while now trading almost at $50 in a remarkable turn of events. However, the 10 day low is too far away, therefore, risking too much money so I will look at other markets with better risk/reward scenarios at present. Crude oil is trading far above it's 20 and 100-day moving average telling you that short-term trend is to the upside as I’m certainly not recommending any type of short position as that would be counter trend trading which is a bad idea over the course of time. It will be very interesting to see if rig counts start to increase as they had been coming down over the last year, but now prices have rallied substantially so it will be interesting to see if those corporations start pumping more oil. Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery"

Fed Rate Anxiety Fades As Existing Home Sales Rise

Stocks are on the rise Friday, with the S&P 500 bouncing from a seven-week low. The rise has been led by the technology sector with the NASDAQ gaining 1.35 percent. It also seems that anxiety over the potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve as early as next month is starting to wain a bit.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

Sales of existing U.S. homes rose more than expected in April, suggesting the economy continues to gather pace during the second quarter. The National Association of REALTORS said on Friday that existing home sales increased 1.7 percent to an annual rate of 5.45 million units. March's sales pace was revised slightly higher to 5.36 million units from the previously reported 5.33 million units.

Key levels to watch this week: Continue reading "Fed Rate Anxiety Fades As Existing Home Sales Rise"