Supply and Demand Will Rescue Gold Soon

Posted on by admin

The Gold Report: The gold sector entered full-blown panic mode in July with the Bloomberg analysts forecasting a dip below $1,000 per ounce ($1,000/oz) this year, and Deutsche Bank forecasting $750/oz. Is this just fear feeding on fear, or is there something else going on?

Jeffrey Mosseri: It is fear feeding on fear, but there are two other things going on. The first is the strength of the dollar, and the second is the weakness in the price of oil. Combined, these two factors have greatly and negatively affected the prices of all metals in U.S. dollars. Over the past year, gold is up 2040% in many currencies.

TGR: In the last couple of years, the idea that the price of gold is being manipulated downward is no longer dismissed entirely as a conspiracy theory.

"Commerce Resource Corp. recently announced excellent drilling results at its Ashram rare earth deposit."

Douglass Loud: I wouldn't want to use the word "manipulation," but you could have an analyst predicting a gold price of $1,050/oz, followed by someone on the trading desk shorting it down to $1,050/oz, without any collusion.

TGR: How big a role does China have in setting the gold price? Continue reading "Supply and Demand Will Rescue Gold Soon" →

A Consumer Goods Stock That Feeds Any Investors Appetite

Posted on by Daniel Cross

Daniel Cross - INO.com Contributor - Equities


A missed quarter is often an opportunity for value investors who know how look to the future rather than the short term. A temporary stock hit can mean getting a discount on a company that could turn around and post out-sized profits down the road.

For a food production company, weakness can come from a number of sources such as higher livestock costs, grain costs or import costs. However, one fairly steady constant is the demand for food itself. Rather than being subject to supply and demand curves or the whims of the business economic cycle, a food producer will always have a solid customer base that's always growing as the global population rises. Regardless of the state of the economy, food will always be in demand making it a solid investment choice over the long run. Continue reading "A Consumer Goods Stock That Feeds Any Investors Appetite" →

One Amazing Stock and the "Death Cross"

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Last week I talked about the "death cross". This ominous sounding indicator is watched by many long-term investors. A "death cross" occurs when the 50-day moving average moves below the 200-day moving average. It sounds a little morbid, but this indicator has been useful in the past.

Let me give you some examples of the "death cross" during the past 8 years. Since 2007, there have been four times when the "death cross" has come into play. On January 14, 2008, a "death cross" was signaled and that was the start of the big downturn that lasted until July 8, 2009, when the 50-day moving average moved back over the 200-day moving average.

On July 7, 2010, the 50-day moving average once again dipped below the 200-day moving average signaling a bear trend. That signal came to an end on October 4, 2010, and proved to be more of a consolidation than a bear market.

We had to wait until August 25, 2011 for the next "death cross". This again proved to be short lived, only about four months and in retrospect, looked more like a consolidation that a bear market. That signal ended on January 4, 2012.

So what are we to make of this last "death cross", the one that occurred yesterday? Continue reading "One Amazing Stock and the "Death Cross"" →

Market Extremes: Gold Is Going To Take On Stocks And More In Europe

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


This time I want to share with you the technicals of the Gold/Stock index ratios for the United States and Europe.

Chart 1. Gold In Usd/S&P 500 Index Ratio: Landed or Not?

XAUUSDO/CME_SP500
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

As both Gold and stocks are hitting new multi-year extremes, I wanted to compare them in the form of a ratio to better understand where we are now on the chart.

This year the S&P 500 index pushed Gold down to a decade low just like the US dollar did. The chart looks similar to the Gold/$ chart, but the index has surpassed the currency. The Gold/S&P500 ratio corrected for a huge 78.6% setback while the Gold/$ ratio only corrected for a 50% setback, which means that stocks outperformed the cash. Continue reading "Market Extremes: Gold Is Going To Take On Stocks And More In Europe" →

China Devalues The Yuan: Now What?

Posted on by Lior Alkalay

Lior Alkalay - INO.com Contributor - Forex


It was less than a week ago that we pinned down the growing possibility that China would move to devalue the Yuan. Then – Bang! Since this morning, it's a done deal. Or is it? While China's move to devalue the Yuan (by roughly 1.9%) in a single day is the most aggressive Yuan devaluation since the "roaring" nineties, chances are this is only the beginning.

China Must Regain its Competitiveness

The core of the matter here is that China is trying to maintain the facade that this was a one-shot deal. However, it really has more to do with the government's attempt to free the Yuan rate. Beijing, it seems, may have finally bowed to the realities of market economics. Even as it enacts reforms to liberalize its financial markets and change its economic model, China must regain its competitiveness when it comes to exports. Continue reading "China Devalues The Yuan: Now What?" →