"OPEC, The Market and Oil Bulls Have Run Out of Runway" - Andy Hall

Robert Boslego - INO.com Contributor - Energies


Andy Hall has forsaken his bull oil market position. In an investment letter dated July 3rd, he wrote, “Whereas it once seemed positions could be held with an eye to a longer-term secular appreciation, that is no longer the case…. In short, OPEC, the market and oil bulls have run out of runway.”

Andy Hall
Source: Amanda Gordon/Bloomberg

Mr. Hall explained his reasoning this way:

“Hitherto, it had been our view that oil would trend higher as prices would need to rise to a level that would justify investment in more costly sources of supply than just the core areas of US shale. However, not only has the core shale oil resource grown significantly — above all in the prolific Permian Basin — but break-evens have dropped because of secular productivity gains outpacing cyclical cost increases, at least for now…. If the marginal cost of oil for the next 3 or 4 years is headed to the mid-$40 range, then OPEC’s attempts to push prices to $60 seem futile.” Continue reading ""OPEC, The Market and Oil Bulls Have Run Out of Runway" - Andy Hall"

Were The New Market Highs A Bull Trap?

On Tuesday we witnessed the S&P 500 and the DOW make new all-time highs. What is the significance of this? If you've been following my work and reading our comments then you're probably familiar with the 52-Week New Highs on Friday Rules which go like this:

Rule #1: On a new 52-week high, when the market closes at or close to its high on a Friday, buy and go home long for the weekend.

Rule #2: Exit the long position on the opening the following Tuesday.

Rule #3: If the market opens lower on Monday, exit this position immediately.

Since making their highs on Tuesday, the DOW and S&P 500 have been steadily moving lower and are in danger of closing lower for the week. Doing so would create a "negative engulfing line." A "negative engulfing line" or "bearish engulfing line," as it is some times called, is when the market price action engulfs the previous open and high period for the preceding week or day. If this turns out to be the case for the DOW and S&P 500 and this coming week they both close lower for the week, then the odds are pretty high that a top is more than likely in place. Continue reading "Were The New Market Highs A Bull Trap?"

Is S&P 500 Getting Ready to Skyrocket or Collapse?

There's no doubt about it, for the past four weeks the S&P 500 index has been trapped in a trading range.

In my new video I show you a key level to watch this week. If this level
is broken, it will be a game changer for this index.

As always our videos are free to view and there is no registration
requirement.

Enjoy the video and let us know what you think on our blog.

All the best,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

December Can Be A Tricky Month

Well here we are in the month of December and things can get pretty tricky this month. For this reason, I wanted to produce a video that I thought would be helpful to you during this time.

In my new video I show you the exact points that we’re looking at for a major trend change in the S&P 500. I also point out the exact number that will show an exit point, but not a major trend change, in this same index.

As always our videos are free to watch and there is no need to register and we look forward to your comments.

Adam Hewison

President, INO.com Co-creator, MarketClub

Is the S&P about to fall out of bed or is it headed higher?

Is the S&P about to fall out of bed or is it headed higher?

In my latest video I hope to answer those questions and show you what I think could happen to this market in the near-term.

There is a fascinating cycle at work that I want to share with you. If this cycle remains in effect, we could be looking at the beginning of a turn-down for this index.

As always our MarketClub videos are free to watch and there is no need to register and we’d love hearing your feedback on this video on our blog.

All the best,
Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub