Stocks Fall On Weak Jobs Report

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello traders everywhere. The three major indexes fell Friday, on pace for their worst week since December, after data showed hiring growth slowed significantly in February. The declines came after data from the Labor Department showed U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose a seasonally adjusted 20,000 in February, missing economists' expectations of 180,000 new jobs.

Still, the report wasn't all doom and gloom. The unemployment rate ticked down to 3.8% from 4% a month earlier, while wages rose 3.4% from a year earlier, the strongest pace since April 2009.

Jobs Report

For the first time since December, all three indexes will post weekly losses over -2.6%. The DOW did finish last week with a slight loss of -.02%, the s&P 500 had a weekly loss of -.22% in January, but this will be the first weekly loss for NASDAQ, breaking a 10-week winning streak. Both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ issued green monthly Trade Triangles recent, but the DOW remains in a sideline position with a red monthly Trade Triangle. Continue reading "Stocks Fall On Weak Jobs Report" →

Current Market Mood; Wait and See

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Hello traders everywhere. The stock market has entered into wait and see territory with stocks falling for the third straight day after a positive open to trading on Monday morning. What are traders waiting for, the next set of clues in the U.S. - China trade talks?

Earlier this week, sources told CNBC that the U.S. and China were in the "final stages" of trade talks, with the two sides planning a Mar-a-Lago summit for the end of the month. U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo also said Monday he thought Washington and Beijing were "on the cusp" of reaching a deal. So now, we wait and see.

Wait and See

The S&P 500 finally issued the new green monthly Trade Triangle that we've been waiting for at $2,813.49 in early trading Monday. However, that move higher was short lived as the S&P 500 closed lower for the day. But keep in mind that The S&P 500 has risen about 11% this year. That only leaves us with the DOW in a sidelines mode. Will we get that new monthly Trade Triangle soon or are in for a bit of a wait? Continue reading "Current Market Mood; Wait and See" →

Should You Own ETFs In A "Stock Pickers Market"

Posted on by Matt Thalman

Most Wall Street participants believe 2019 will be a “stock pickers” year; So how will that affect Exchange Traded Fund investors?

Well first off, what is a “Stock Pickers” market or year? That is a market in which to make a decent return; investors will need to pick individual stocks, not just buy the market as a whole or an index such as the S&P 500 or Dow Jones. At this point, most Wall Street analysts believe the major market indexes will end the higher just slightly higher. In mid-February, Goldman Sachs analyst posted a note indicating they think the S&P 500 will only climb to 3,000 by the end of the year, but the next few months could be flat.

Vanguard went a little further and said it believes the market will only return roughly 5% median annualized return over the next 10 years. Vanguard’s opinion paints an even worse picture than Goldman’s and hints at the idea that investors will need to be “stock pickers” for the next decade if they want to see returns greater than 5% annualized.

So, the experts are telling us that investors need to cherry pick individual stocks if they want to make a real-return greater than a few percent over the next year or maybe more. But what if they don’t know how to find and pick market-beating stocks, they need not worry because that is why actively managed ETFs where created. Continue reading "Should You Own ETFs In A "Stock Pickers Market"" →

Copper Triggered A Short Entry

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

So, dear traders, our patience was finally rewarded last week. Copper has provided us an even better opportunity as the price climbed higher to make a deeper retracement and the distance of the drop is now even greater. We started from the $2.75 level, then we moved higher to $2.885, but none of them were activated.

I spotted the famous reversal pattern on the chart, which adds to my structure analysis and I will show it in the chart below.

Let’s go through the trade setup steps again as the entry signal was triggered.

Step 1. Chart Analysis and Step 2. Trading Idea

These steps can be skipped as we already know what we are looking for.

Step 3. Trade Setup

We should prepare a Sell Setup to enter the trade using specific entry, stop and take profit levels. These are the things that make a trade. If you don’t have all three levels in your mind, you better avoid trading as it would become mere gambling. Continue reading "Copper Triggered A Short Entry" →

Gold Sentiment Lesson

Posted on by The INO.com Team

[edit] an article critical of (anonymous) others is an appropriate venue to once again note publicly the biggest mistake of my own, which was an ill-conceived target of 888 on HUI last decade. I learned from that. It’s okay to admit mistakes boys. We all make ’em. But as with humility, that appears to be all too rare in the market writer world as well. It’s okay to once in a while simply state “I was wrong”.

The number in the title is in honor of the boldest forecast burped up by the gold community in February as the metal (and the miners) jerked upward and jerked the holdout would-be enthusiasts into the market. It was included in the anonymous (but real) quotes from a cautionary post last week on the Gold Bull Horns.

We also used these quotes in an NFTRH update in order to try to make a point, despite what were very short-term contrarian bullish readings that day (per Sentimentrader’s data) for junior and senior gold miners.

From the update (2.28.19)… Continue reading "Gold Sentiment Lesson" →