Gold And Oil Breakout: We Can Benefit!

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In my earlier posts I showed you how gold and crude oil broke out of their trends. Gold moved higher amid an oil break down. The simplest trade here is the purchase of gold on the dip and the sale of oil on pullbacks. Today I want to share with you some other options. We can use oil related currencies instead of oil as they tend to lag and overreact to oil moves.

Chart 1. Gold Vs. Russian Ruble Weekly: Say Hi To A New High!

Gold Vs. Russian Ruble Weekly Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The currency of the world largest country stopped strengthening only last Friday despite that oil reversed much earlier. I call this an overreaction of the currency to the oil move. I guess it’s all about the mechanical reaction of retail USDRUB sellers to the ruble and oil strength which was gone long before they started to act. Usually, non-professional players tend to sell bottoms and buy tops on market panic. Another good thing in this market is that while the ruble was strengthening gold pulled back down, giving potential buyers extra bonuses (falling gold + overreacting ruble).

The Gold/RUB pair has been in an uptrend for 2 years. At the start of 2016 the market it broke out of the triangle above the RUB 78K level and then rapidly moved higher. It topped beyond 2015 high at RUB 101,858 level in February. Continue reading "Gold And Oil Breakout: We Can Benefit!" →

But They Said To Never Do This Trade?!

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Conventional wisdom says that counter-trend trading is a losing game. I agree if you're using conventional tools! Using leading indicators that anticipate price movement allows you to construct high reward, low-risk entries. Join me as you take you through this options trade in the Russell 2000 ETF "IWM."

Learn more about TradingAnalysis.com here.

Plan Your Trade, and Trade Your Plan,
Todd Gordon

Oil And Trump Both Need To Pause And Catch Their Breath

Posted on by Adam Feik

Adam Feik - INO.com Contributor - Energies


Oil has come a long ways, in really short order, rising from $26.21 on February 11 to over $38 as of March 31 (a 46% increase).

Hedge funds have become “as bullish on crude as they’ve ever been, according to the latest CFTC data,” said CNBC’s Melissa Lee on Wednesday.

Is the bullishness justified? Let’s try to sort all this out.

To start, here’s video of a Lee’s and Timothy Seymour’s CNBC interview of PR Advisors founder Robert Raymond. To me, Raymond’s analysis makes a lot of sense. See what you think. I’ve excerpted several statement from Mr. Raymond, followed by my comments (labeled Feik) to give you my view.

Raymond: “(The bullishness) is actually part of what has us concerned.”

Feik: I agree. John Templeton provided a favorite investing maxim of mine (and of many others) when he said, “Bull-markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria.” With so many people trying to bottom-fish in oil and energy right now, I don’t see the kind of pessimism or skepticism that sparks bull markets. So, like Mr. Raymond, that has me concerned. Continue reading "Oil And Trump Both Need To Pause And Catch Their Breath" →

A Very Massive Recession Is Coming

Posted on by The INO.com Team

This past weekend, Donald Trump, the leading Republican candidate for the Presidency of the United States, predicted in a Washington Post interview that we are headed for "a very massive recession." His prognostication goes against what most analysts are forecasting and the fact that the stock market is within 500 points of its all-time high.

Now, Donald Trump is many things. But, he is not stupid and we should not rule out anything in today's marketplace. You don't become a billionaire by doing stupid things and certainly I think he has an interesting take on the current economic environment. Just as he has tapped into the anger of the average American citizen and his unlikely rise to the top of the Republican Party, don't dismiss what he is saying because you may or may not like him personally.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

What has been fueling this market to the upside is free money from the Fed. It certainly hasn't been corporate profits. Most corporations have wrung out the last few vestiges of efficiency in their companies expenses.

Having said all that, I'm not totally convinced the market is going to go a lot higher. At the moment, the major indices are giving mixed signals, the Dow and the S&P 500 are positive while the NASDAQ is in a broad trading range. All three indices are very overbought and are due for some form of correction, in my opinion.

NEVER BUY STOCKS ON A MONDAY... Continue reading "A Very Massive Recession Is Coming" →

Investors Should Watch Out For This Breakout Stock

Posted on by Daniel Cross

Daniel Cross - INO.com Contributor - Equities


If you're an advocate of EMH (Efficient Market Hypothesis), then you likely assume that markets are rational and bargain pickups are hard to come by. Stocks that take off without notice shouldn't happen since investors, whether institutional or everyday, have access to the same information. However, there are some cases that simply defy the rules.

Stealthy stocks that are relatively unknown can surprise investors. These types of companies might have few or no analysts covering its stock letting it easily slip through investors sights. But once it starts hitting new highs, it makes waves.

Many have immortalized investors like Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett. The value investor style of stock trading has been a winner for decades, but a look back at recent history tells a different story. It's growth stocks that have outperformed value stocks over the past decade. Advances in technology and a the globalization of the world's financial markets have led to an aggressive bull market that undervalued stocks just haven't been able to keep up with. Continue reading "Investors Should Watch Out For This Breakout Stock" →