Can Star Wars Save Disney Or Will ESPN Sink The Ship?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

After the close today, The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) announces its earnings for the fourth quarter. Analysts are expecting Disney to make $1.45 a share on revenues of 14.7 billion. But here's the rub, ESPN which produces 45% of Disney's revenues, lost 3 million subscribers last year and is now a potential Achilles' heel for Disney.

Here's how I'm looking at Disney:
The Trade Triangles are all red and negative indicating lower prices. Technically the chart for Disney looks dismal at best. Based on those two elements, I expect Disney to either come in on analysts estimates or to miss their earnings. I do not expect to see a surprise on the upside here. Based on that analysis you would want to be short (if you're not already based on the Trade Triangles) Disney before the close today.

Daily Chart of The Walt Disny Company (NYSE:DIS)

Another stock that is set to report fourth-quarter 2015 results after the close today is Akamai Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:AKAM). Analysts estimate that this stock should have positive earnings of around $0.50 a share. I would be surprised given the overall negative tone of tech stocks that even if Akamai reports good earnings, it won't go far on the upside. Technically speaking this stock according to the Trade Triangles is in a major downtrend, it has however completed a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and is within striking distance of a long-term support line which comes in around $37 a share. I would be more inclined to go with the trend and stay short this market. The original Trade Triangle sell signal for this stock came on 7/6/15 at $69.13. Akamai closed on Monday evening at $40.98. Continue reading "Can Star Wars Save Disney Or Will ESPN Sink The Ship?" →

Is It A Monkey That's Going To Sink The Market?

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Let me begin by acknowledging the Chinese New Year. You might ask yourself, "What does that have to do with the markets here in the US?" My answer to you would be everything. Remember how influenced we were with the slowdown in China last year? This slowdown could be exacerbated in 2016, putting even more pressure on our markets here.

2016 represents the year of the "Red Monkey" on the Chinese calendar and it does not auger well for stocks according to "The Business Times" of Singapore.

Here's what they say:

"Do not expect the Year of the Monkey to be easy for investments. You need to outsmart the monkey to do well in the lunar year 2016. Do expect world events impacting stock markets and investments to change sharply and quickly, like the agile monkey."

"Expect markets to be volatile in the first half of the year (we've already got that) and for events to unfold quickly," their Chinese astrology expert says.

"The Year of the Monkey is going to shake, rattle and roil financial markets. One has to be as intelligent, witty and nimble as the monkey to do well in such investment landscape," he writes.

The most-recent Monkey year was 2004. In that year, the Shanghai Composite climbed 36% only to come crashing down in a 44% correction that bottomed in June 2005 (and then rallied 500%).

MarketClub translation - be nimble in 2016. Continue reading "Is It A Monkey That's Going To Sink The Market?" →

How You Can Be Right While The Crowd Loses

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Have you ever wondered how you possibly make money when everyone around you is losing money? Jack Bernstein will show you how in today's video.

This video was produced live during an actual conference session. It's intended to duplicate, as much as possible, the experience of being there in person. As always, Jake is both interesting and provocative. His fascinating look into the markets is sure to make you think a little more about his recent discoveries.

WATCH NOW: How You Can Be Right While The Crowd Loses

Best,
The INOTV Team

Copper Update: Bottomed?

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


If you have read my last update on this metal, you should be aware of a recent miscorrelation between the two core assets. You will see in the chart below that my bold expectations for a rapid recovery of oil didn't come true.

Chart 1 Copper-Oil Comparative Illustration: Investors Choose Metal Over Oil

Comparative Chart of Copper and Oil
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Neither the first interim low in the middle of December nor the second low in the middle of January could make the much anticipated V-shape rocket reversal. The main reason for that is the oversupply of the oil market. There are rumors that OPEC will soon reach a deal with Russia to cut production for their mutual benefit. This, of course, will cause the price of oil to rise. I think this is a temporary measure and after the short-term rise we will see the price of oil drop again, but it could take some time happen. Continue reading "Copper Update: Bottomed?" →

Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery

Posted on by The INO.com Team

We've asked Michael Seery of SEERYFUTURES.COM to give our INO readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. He has been Senior Analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Michael frequently appears on multiple business networks including Bloomberg news, Fox Business, CNBC Worldwide, CNN Business, and Bloomberg TV. He is also a guest on First Business, which is a national and internationally syndicated business show.

Crude Oil Futures

Crude oil futures in the March contract settled last Friday in New York at 33.62 a barrel while currently trading at 31.62 down about $2 for the trading week stuck in a sideways trend at the present time. Crude oil prices are trading above their 20 day but still far below their 100 day moving average telling you that the trend is mixed as prices in my opinion are bottoming out, but at this point the market trend is sideways as a true breakout to the upside is above 34.82 as the chart structure is starting to improve so keep a close eye on this market, but avoid and look at other sectors that are beginning to trend. The U.S dollar has entered a bearish trend in my opinion and that has been supportive crude oil in recent days while also pushing up the precious metals which hit a 3 month high which is always a good sign as the commodity markets move hand-in-hand over the course of time which could be supportive crude oil here in the short time. Continue reading "Weekly Futures Recap With Mike Seery" →