The War on Cash and Then on Gold

Technical analyst Clive Maund says liquidity issues with banks could lead to restrictions on cash and precious metals.

The global financial system continues to groan under the strain of the accumulated weight of trillions of dollars worth of debt and derivatives, which have built up to even more fantastic levels than those that precipitated the near collapse in 2008, thanks to the policy of solving liquidity problems near term by creating even more debt and derivatives, Quantitative Easing being the most obvious example. However, while the majority considers the situation to be hopeless, there is actually "light at the end of the tunnel."

cash and gold

If only a way could be found to freely tap the funds of savers at will, by imposing duties or taxes on bank accounts, with the additional option to appropriate savers' funds on occasion as required, then the systemic liquidity problems will be solved. Banks need never fear solvency problems again and they can simply fall back on the account holder's funds to meet any obligations. There are in fact already names for these restorative operations, they are called "bails-ins" and NIRP (Negative Interest Rate Policy). Continue reading "The War on Cash and Then on Gold"

Gold & Silver: Silver Is The First Up

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Those who hope tell themselves - one day the tide will turn. I think a lot of people are either long or they’re not and were waiting for the rise of the top metals. Below are fresh charts which could help us to understand where we are and when the tide will turn higher.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: Watch The Breakup For Reversal

Daily Gold Chart W/RSI
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

I’ve written quite a lot in my previous posts about the tricky nature of corrective structures which have unpredictable outcomes. But the more time we spend inside of it, the higher are the chances that the situation becomes clearer. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Silver Is The First Up"

Gold Takes Bugs On A Roller Coaster Ride

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


What is fear? It’s our emotion about something uncertain or unknown as it is natural for human beings to avoid risks. Someone said that to stop fearing it is good to face it as quite often it is only our mental illusion and has nothing common with reality. Another wise person advised looking at a larger perspective to cut the noise of the market to keep above the vanity.

I took both pieces of advice and combined them into a single weekly chart below.

Chart 1. Gold Weekly: Roller Coaster – Let’s Face The Maximum Fear

Weekly Gold Chart
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

On the multi-year chart above, we can clearly see that the global map of the market didn’t change for the past 3 years and we are still at the levels seen in the three previous years. Almost a year ago at the end of November 2015, gold hit a new low and set the new edge of the range with a fresh downside at $1046 and the upside at $1434 (August 2013 maximum). Right now the price is almost at the center of the range. Continue reading "Gold Takes Bugs On A Roller Coaster Ride"

Gold/Silver Ratio: Another Chance To Short?

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


In February I posted an idea to short gold and buy silver simultaneously at the 79 oz level as the ratio hit the top of the multi-decade range. The progress was surprisingly good and I wrote about it in July update and then the ratio stalled. Today I would like to show how we can use this respite to pocket gains.

Below is the ‘face-lifted’ February chart where I put focus on the main idea.

Chart 1. Gold/Silver Ratio: Mid-Range Set Strong Barrier

Gold/Silver ratio Chart Mid-Range barrier
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

This is the so-called ‘bird’s-eye’ view of the ratio. Twenty years in the range with rare overshoots beyond the range and the single ultra-strength of silver in 2011, this could be titled as the fearless or careless time as you wish. Continue reading "Gold/Silver Ratio: Another Chance To Short?"

Three Indicators That Say Gold Is Headed Higher

If you haven't been paying attention to the gold (NYMEX:GC.Z16.E) market, you may have missed one of the most interesting moves of the year. As all the major indices have been trending lower gold has been doing just the reverse.

Here are the three positive indicators I see.

1. The weekly Trade Triangle is now green. It triggered on 11/01 at $1281.10

MarketClub's Trade Triangles Daily Gold Chart

Continue reading "Three Indicators That Say Gold Is Headed Higher"