Silver hit a 3-month high last week, but there is still plenty room for gains on the way to the conservative upside target above $21 level.
Last week I analyzed the top gold stocks, and I thought it would be interesting to look at the silver stocks to see if there are good opportunities amid Silver's growth. My previous update on the top silver stocks ranked by P/E was posted in July. This time I will use ROE (return on equity) as a selection criterion.
Table 1. Top Silver Stocks By Return-On-Equity (ROE)
Image courtesy of finviz.com
Top 3 silver stocks by ROE are SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM) (former ticker SSRI), Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) and Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) .
Stocks are trading close to all-time highs and valuations are well above average with a P/E of 19.72 compared to the historic median of 14.57. At first glance, it might seem as if there's no value to be had in this market, but when one asset class thrives, it generally means another is struggling.
Right now, commodities are the unloved asset class by investors. A strong U.S. dollar and booming stock market have driven prices lower as demand favors equities. However, the tide could be on the verge of turning, putting one precious metal in a position to flourish.
A bright outlook for silver prices
For contrarian investors, silver looks like a bargain right now. This chart shows silvers prices at 5-year lows – a good sign for those looking for value opportunities.
Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com
Now take a look at the signals silver is giving investors right now. It's trading below it's 200-day moving average of $17.91 which is a sign that's it's being undervalued. What's more important though is what the Bollinger Band Width is saying. It tracks volatility and identifies when a potential squeeze might occur. Hovering at around 10, less than its 200-day moving average, it could be a signal that silver is getting ready to rally to the upside. Continue reading "This Shiny Metal Could Be In Bargain Territory For Value Investors"→
A solid 2.5 years of risk management (to varying degrees) has been required of precious metals investors. It was most intensely required after the announcement of QE3, when the net commercial short position in silver began a relentless march toward a very bearish alignment in late 2012 and then the HUI Gold Bugs index lost an important support level at around 460. Here is the chart of silver with a heavy commercial net short position from NFTRH 215, dated 12.2.12:
Keith Phillips: The deal involved La Preciosa, a silver asset controlled by Orko, in an attractive jurisdiction in Mexico. From an investment banking perspective, seeing two different, quality companies competing for a junior mining asset in an environment where people thought the merger and acquisition (MA) business was dead was encouraging. First Majestic Silver Corp. (FR:TSX; AG:NYSE; FMV:FSE) made an initial bid for Orko, and Coeur d'Alene was the successful bidder.
The Gold Report: Precious metal bullion and equities are taking a hit right now in the market. Why do you feel silver is an interesting investment today?
Rick Mills: There is a disconnect this year between silver and gold. They usually trade in lockstep, and their market prices are doing that.
As of April 2, more than 140 tons of gold has flowed out of various exchange traded funds (ETFs) this year, while silver ETFs have added more than 20 million ounces (20 Moz). Maybe that is because silver is more affordable than gold or because silver also has industrial uses.