chart analysis Archives - Page 58 of 66

Gold & Silver: First Pullback

Posted on June 9, 2016 by Aibek Burabayev

Chart 1. Gold Daily: Second to Win but First to Hold

Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The top metal has was just $4 from reaching the target of $1307 which was set in my March post. It had reached a high of $1303 on May 2nd before it started a one-month long correction anticipated in the same post. The depth of the correction is minimal at 38.2% and is well above the normal retracement area within the 50-78.6% range ($1176-$1101) highlighted in the March post. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: First Pullback" →

The Dollar Takes 'EM Down

Posted on May 24, 2016May 24, 2016 by Aibek Burabayev

Dear readers, I am very grateful to get all your feedback and suggestions that you kindly share with me all the time! Rasesh Shukla, one of our regular readers asked about the Emerging market currencies and particularly about Indian rupee in a comment this month. And I am pleased to share my thoughts with all of you in this post.

Chart 1. 5-Year Dynamics of Top FX vs. EM FX

5-Year Dynamics of Top FX vs. EM FX
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

I want to start with the comparison chart of the top currencies presented by inverse dollar index, consisting of 6 currencies: Euro, Japanese Yen, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, Swedish Krona and Swiss Franc (orange line) versus the emerging market currencies presented by WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Fund (CEW, green line). The former is quite representative, it tracks the value of the following 15 currencies: Mexican Peso, Brazilian Real, Chilean Peso, Colombian Peso, South African Rand, Polish Zloty, Russian Ruble, Turkish New Lira, Chinese Yuan, South Korean Won, Indonesian Rupiah, Indian Rupee, Malaysian Ringgit, Philippine Peso and Thai Baht. Continue reading "The Dollar Takes 'EM Down" →

Gold & Silver Daily: Ladies And Gentlemen, The Bull Flag!

Posted on May 11, 2016 by Aibek Burabayev

Today when I saw that precious metals started to rise after a correction I detected on the charts my favorite pattern called the Bull Flag. This pattern can change the targets depicted in my earlier gold and silver posts, better say enrich them.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: Beyond 1300!

Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

Gold is in the blue multi-month uptrend. The angle is not as sharp as it was at the start of the year, but it still can take gold to fresh highs. Continue reading "Gold & Silver Daily: Ladies And Gentlemen, The Bull Flag!" →

The Dollar Index: Make Or Break?

Posted on May 7, 2016May 6, 2016 by Aibek Burabayev

In this post, I would like to offer a global outlook for the gauge of the most financial assets, for the US dollar via its index DXY.

It is important to understand the global trend for the dollar to plan our precious metals strategy. I've included four charts below with different periods of observations and you can judge for yourself what you are after.

Chart 1. Dollar Index Monthly (1985-2016): Looks Bad!

Dollar Index Monthly
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

On the monthly chart above, we see that the dollar dropped from the 125+ levels, then made a correction to the blue A point at the 121 level. After that, from 2001, we saw another massive sell-off of 51 points down to the 70 level in he notorious 2008. Continue reading "The Dollar Index: Make Or Break?" →

The Japanese Gold Trapped In A Large Consolidation

Posted on April 29, 2016April 29, 2016 by Aibek Burabayev

This topic was promised in one of my previous posts to our readers, and I am pleased to offer it to you today. I was waiting to see the end of the month price action to try to write when I considered all the moves within a month for more accuracy. Carol and Diane, I should admit you are very brave ladies as when I opened GYEN (The AdvisorShares Gartman Gold/Yen ETF (NYSE Arca: GYEN)) chart I was shocked by all the crazy and abrupt moves there. The history of this ETF is quite short (from 2014), and the analysis based on it would not be solid. At the end of the post, I've added the GYEN chart for you to judge for yourself. I picked the gold/JPY chart instead for analysis as the ETF tracks the price of this pair. I hope you will enjoy the post.

Chart 1. Gold/JPY Monthly: Multi-Decade Uptrend Is Intact

Monthly Chart of GLD/JPY
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

The multi-decade uptrend highlighted in the chart reflects the trends of both the gold/$ and $/JPY markets. Those markets were extremely bullish for the past decade, and the gold/JPY strong upside move shows the synergy of them. The Big Bull Run here stalled in 2013 while gold/$ stalled two years earlier in 2011. The reason is that the $/JPY bullish move stopped last year and helped to extend the upside move in gold/JPY and then to soften the downside pressure from the falling gold/$. Continue reading "The Japanese Gold Trapped In A Large Consolidation" →

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