Visualizing Correlation: Gold Vs. Other Instruments

Some of our regular readers kindly shared their opinion about the gold market correlation with other instruments in the comments section under my previous post. I think it could be interesting for all of us to see what is going on there if we check the correlation between gold and other instruments.

I prepared the visualization of it for you below. The dollar index and the 5-year TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) were named in the comments, and I will add two other top instruments, so please stay tuned.

Let’s start with the Dollar Index (DXY).

Correlation
DXY: blue, left scale / Gold: orange, right scale / Correlation coefficient: turquoise, sub-chart - Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

For more than 20 years, these two instruments were mostly in a negative/mirrored correlation. It just changes from extremely negative to zero correlation with rare spikes into positive territory. Continue reading "Visualizing Correlation: Gold Vs. Other Instruments"

Goldilocks Now, But She'll Be Vanquished

Just one look at the daily chart of SPX tells us - in hindsight - that this may have all been about gap acquisition. I was completely right and righteous to be bullish on the Christmas Eve massacre low, right on up to the 50-day moving average, which was the original target.

After that, I was compelled by the market’s technicals to be bullish for a drive to the SMA 200, and then 2815 resistance, and then… a top-test. I not only felt not righteous with these compulsions, I felt a little soiled. Hey, it’s just a human (as opposed to a newsletter writer/market commentator) talking about human feelings.

There is a difference between being contrary and willingly bullish and being compelled to be bullish. I don’t like the feeling of that second thing very much. Anyway, there is a gap and do you know what? Last summer’s rally filled a similar gap (not shown here) from late January 2018, proceeded upward into a nice bull trap, and then October happened. FYI. The bears were disoriented and thus pissed all last summer. But any self-respecting bull trap would by definition piss the bears off because it’s the same psychology that traps the bulls, only in reverse.

spx

So SPX is finally at its top-test limit, with its leadership chain (SOX>NDX>SPX) still strong as NDX is at new highs and SOX is well into new highs. We also have the scenario of SPX to 3000 (+/-) open if it is to hit point 5 on a potential Megaphone. Continue reading "Goldilocks Now, But She'll Be Vanquished"

Year To Date Dynamics: Metals Versus Top Assets

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Today I prepared for you the year-to-date comparative dynamics of the metals versus the top financial instruments including the Dollar Index, crude oil and the S&P 500 index.

Gold Comparison Chart
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

As seen in the above graph, half of the instruments started the year on an upbeat tune, lead by Silver and followed by Gold, Platinum and the Dollar Index. The other half started with a nose-diving fall, especially crude oil followed by Copper, Palladium and the S&P 500 bringing up the rear. Continue reading "Year To Date Dynamics: Metals Versus Top Assets"

Chart to Watch - S&P 500 Futures

We've asked our friend Jim Robinson of profittrading.com to provide his expert analysis of charts to our readers. Each week he'll be analyzing a different chart using the Trade Triangles and his experience.

Today he is going to take a look at the technical picture of the S&P 500 Futures Contract (CME:SP.H14.E).

This week let's take a look at the S&P 500 futures contract.

When trading futures with the Trade Triangles you use the weekly Trade Triangles to tell trend and the daily Trade Triangles to time the entry and exits.

The weekly Trade Triangle turned red Trade on 1/13/14 and a red daily Trade Triangle on 1/21/14 which would have put any one trading the E-mini S&P 500 with the MarketClub system short just before Friday's 1/24/14 big down day and break of support. Continue reading "Chart to Watch - S&P 500 Futures"

Twelve Essential Steps To a Winning E-mini Strategy!

By: Leslie Burton

Danielstrading.com

In the 80's, the US T-Bond contract was the most liquid market. The bond pit at the CBOT was so crowded that you could not turn around. There was a bit of intrigue with commodities. It was deemed "not a prudent man’s investment vehicle' — it was for the aggressive investor. It was not a climate for "everyman" as the margins were often high and the moves could be severe. "Everyman" needed a liquid market with reduced margins that would allow participation in the stock market in a diverse manner. The E-mini indices allow a trader to participate in a stock weighted average of a portfolio. Continue reading "Twelve Essential Steps To a Winning E-mini Strategy!"