2016: Current Market Themes

A year ago almost to the day we began tracking a ‘Macrocosmic’ theme that would eventually see gold bottom and rise vs. stocks and bonds in 2016, joining its bullish status vs. commodities, which had been in place since 2014.

Nominal gold bottomed in December 2015 before silver, commodities and stocks as a counter cyclical environment birthed a new precious metals bull market.  We updated the progress here, here and here in 2016.

But markets, being the product of immeasurable moving parts, are always in motion and you cannot get too hung up on any one theme, ideology or habit.  When the Semiconductor sector began burping up its positive signals for the economy and for stocks, we listened intently and I for one, put my capital where my mouth was and noted as much each week in NFTRH.

Back in April, with the first improvement in the Semiconductor Equipment sector’s bookings, we went on bull alert.  By June 22, we had established a trend in the rising bookings and noted the Details Behind Semiconductor Leadership and the bullish implications that this Canary’s Canary in the coal mine carried. Continue reading "2016: Current Market Themes"

What Experts Predict for the New Silver Bull Market

By the reckoning of market watchers, the silver bull has arrived. The Gold Report takes a look at what some of the experts predict for the silver price going forward and for companies poised to benefit from the upswing.

Stack of Silver Coins

The Outlook
Like gold, the price of silver has surged following Britain's vote to leave the European Union, with investors purchasing the "safe haven" metals to protect wealth in the event other markets falter. According to an article published on July 19 on INN Daily, the silver price has gone up more than 43% year-to-date, "leap-frogging ahead of gold post-Brexit."

"Southern Silver Exploration Corp. will be a big winner."

Frank Holmes of U.S. Global Investors, in a July 11 post, notes that silver tops his "Periodic Table of Commodity Returns" for the first half of 2016. "Silver demand had a phenomenal 2015, with retail investment and jewelry fabrication both reaching all-time highs," Holmes wrote. Add to that an increase in demand for silver for photovoltaics, and now Brexit, and the first half of the year has "has been highly constructive. . ." Holmes notes that some experts believe the silver price will reach between $25 and $32 per ounce by year-end. The metal currently trades for ~$19.90/ounce. Continue reading "What Experts Predict for the New Silver Bull Market"

Trading Live Around Apple and The Fed Chickening Out...Again!!!

Well that was a crazy trading day! Come on into my trading office and I'll show you how we handled the Facebook and Apple earnings trade. Plus, we focus in on trades related to the US dollar because the Fed totally chickened out...again!!!

Learn more about TradingAnalysis.com here.

Plan Your Trade, and Trade Your Plan,
Todd Gordon

Remembering Gold's Bullish Set-Up on Dec. 1, 2015

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger compares the Dec. 1, 2015 Gold COT Report with the latest one; the contrasts could not be greater.

Ballanger COT Report Gold

I have a question: "Does ANYONE have the foggiest recollection of just how incredibly bullish the Gold COT (Commitment of Traders) Report structure was back on Dec. 1, 2015?" Continue reading "Remembering Gold's Bullish Set-Up on Dec. 1, 2015"

Stocks Edge Higher On Mixed Earnings

Hello MarketClub members everywhere. As we wrap up the week Stocks are heading slightly higher today and looking to close out the week on a high note. The rally has been led by the telecom sector. AT&T Inc. (NYSE:T) was up 1.5 percent after its earnings results. Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ) rose 1 percent as news broke that Verizon is the front-runner for Yahoo's core business after outbidding others including AT&T. Conversely Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ:YHOO) was up 1 percent as well.

MarketClub's Mid-day Market Report

Looking ahead to next week the question is, what will the Fed do? All signs point to The U.S. Federal Reserve keeping interest rates on hold Wednesday, but investors will be looking for hints about the Feds next move.

The next move is still seen as an increase in rates. But even as concerns over Brexit ease the U.S. election is drawing closer, likely pushing back action towards the end of the year and possibly limiting the Fed to a single hike in 2016, a far cry from its early-year estimate for four moves.

Key levels to watch this week: Continue reading "Stocks Edge Higher On Mixed Earnings"