This Sector Has The "HIGH-est" Performing ETFs

We have seen a lot of wild things occur in 2021, but hey, shouldn’t we have expected that considering it’s the encore act to a truly unforgettable 2020?

With the way big technology stocks such as Apple (APPL), Roku (ROKU), Amazon (AMZN), and Alphabet (GOOG) performed in 2020, one may think these stocks would continue to be big winners during the early part of 2021. Therefore the technology-heavy Exchange Traded Funds would also be the best performers thus far. But that is not the case. Perhaps the Tesla (TSLA) effect on the electric vehicle market would continue to move forward with the Democrats, who are seen as a more environmentally friendly political party in the White and controlling the House and Senate. But that also hasn’t been the case.

The industry that has been on a tear since the start of 2021 is one that a few years ago was coined as “the next great industry,” but that fire quickly smoked out when valuations and expectations grew far too high, way too fast. However, now that the industry is a little more mature developed. Investors have more realistic expectations, combined with the prospects of the industry being able to “legally” operate in more states and countries around the world, and investors really do need to start looking at what it has to offer them and perhaps make an investment in it, before this weed grows high.

If you haven’t guessed yet or scrolled ahead, I am referring to the marijuana industry. I mentioned this industry just a few months ago as one you may want to start watching, and I am reiterating that idea today. While some investors may want to go into this newer industry cherry-picking stocks, I believe the Exchange Traded Funds that focus on this industry are the best way to invest in this growth industry.

Oh, and have I mentioned these marijuana ETFs are the best performing non-leveraged ETFs year-to-date? Let’s take a look at some of them and which ones I personally prefer as an investment option. Continue reading "This Sector Has The "HIGH-est" Performing ETFs"

Are The Markets Sending A Warning Sign?

After an incredible rally phase that initiated just one day before the US elections in November 2020, we’ve seen certain sectors rally extensively. Are the markets starting to warn us that this rally phase may be stalling? We noticed very early that some of the strongest sectors appear to be moderately weaker on the first day of trading this week. Is it because of Triple-Witching this week (Friday, March 19, 2021)? Or is it because the Treasury Yields continue to move slowly higher? What’s really happening right now, and should traders/investors be cautious?

The following XLF Weekly chart shows how the Financial sector rallied above the upper YELLOW price channel, which was set from the 2018 and pre COVID-19 2020 highs. Early 2021 was very good for the financial sector overall; we saw a 40%+ rally in this over just 6 months on expectations that the US economy would transition into a growth phase as the new COVID vaccines are introduced.

We are also concerned about an early TWEEZERS TOP pattern that has set up early this week. If the price continues to move lower as we progress through futures contract expiration week, FOMC, and other data this week, then we may see some strong resistance setting up near $35.25. Have the markets gotten ahead of themselves recently? Could we be setting up for a moderately deeper pullback in price soon?

markets

The following SSO, ProShares S&P 500 ETF Weekly chart, shows a similar setup. Although the rally in the SSO is not quite the same range as the XLF, we see a solid TWEEZERS TOP pattern setup on the SSO chart over a period of many weeks. We also found the moderate weakness in the US indexes interesting this morning. Last week, we continued to see very strong buying trends. Today, we see those trends have almost vanished. Are the markets setting near highs waiting for some announcement or news to push them into a new trend? Continue reading "Are The Markets Sending A Warning Sign?"

Same Plan For Silver, Wake-Up Call For Gold

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) chart opens this update.

US Dollar Index

The plan posted at the beginning of this month played out amazingly accurate in the DXY chart. The dollar, indeed, moved to the upside hitting beyond the first target of 92.07, and it almost reached the second goal with a 1.272x multiplier at 92.72 mark. The maximum of 92.50 was established on March 8. This move has a sharper angle, and it reached the target earlier than the clone of the first move up.

This time I put more annotations to highlight all crucial things for education. The main question is whether the second move-up is over or not. We can see two distinct minor legs in the current move to the upside marked as (i) and (ii); the latter is larger than the former. Then the price reversed to the downside within a zigzag. This could be another minor consolidation ahead of the leg (iii) to the upside. Continue reading "Same Plan For Silver, Wake-Up Call For Gold"

Another Record Close For DOW And S&P 500

The DOW climbed 293.05 points or +0.9%, a record close at 32,778.64. The S&P 500 erased earlier losses and inched up +0.1%, eking out a record close of 3,943.34, and the NASDAQ shed +0.6% as rates surged once again, putting pressure on the tech sector. Alphabet and Facebook dropped 2% each, while Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft closed in the red.

On a weekly level, the DOW and S&P 500 both triggered new green weekly Trade Triangles this week on their way to another record close. The DOW gained +4.07% on the week, with the S&P followed with a gain of +2.6%. The NASDAQ was able to bounce back after three straight weeks of losses with a weekly gain of +3.09%, but it wasn't enough to trigger a new green weekly Trade Triangles; thus, the Chart analysis score remains +55, in a sidelines position. Continue reading "Another Record Close For DOW And S&P 500"

World Oil Supply And Price Outlook, March 2021

The Energy Information Administration released its Short-Term Energy Outlook for March, and it shows that OECD oil inventories likely peaked at 3.210 billion in July 2020. In February 2021, it estimated stocks dropped by 62 million barrels to end at 2.955 billion, 80 million barrels higher than a year ago.

The EIA estimated global oil production at 92.17 million barrels per day (mmbd) for January, compared to global oil consumption of 95.89 mmbd. That implies an undersupply of 3.72 mmb/d, or 104 million barrels for the month. That implies non-OECD stocks dropped by 42 million barrels in addition to the OECD stock draw of 62 million barrels.

For 2021, OECD inventories are now projected to draw by net 91 million barrels to 2.942 billion. For 2022 it forecasts that stocks will draw by 26 million barrels to end the year at 2.949 billion.

Oil

The EIA forecast was made incorporates the OPEC+ decision to cut production and exports. According to OPEC’s press release January 5, 2021: Continue reading "World Oil Supply And Price Outlook, March 2021"