Silver Update: Risk/Reward Ratio Favors Longs (1:4)

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Back in September, I posted a Silver update with the very promising title, "The Time Has Come," where I suggested both target and time for this fading downside move. The target at the $13.7 level hadn’t been reached as buyers did not wait to buy on the dips and had followed Gold to the upside beyond $15, but the time goal (which I stressed in the title) worked out perfectly according to the Fibonacci time zone extension. The downtrend exhaustion appeared in September and it has been really wasting away as not only the low, but also the high of September have both been trapped in the shadow of August (margins have been highlighted in two black dashed parallel horizontal lines). Below the chart, I am going to expand on the prospects of the current reversal.

Silver (FOREX:XAUGSDO)
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

Laozi said, “A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step” and the above daily chart shows us important details that can’t be seen on the monthly chart. Here we can see the last steps of the previous “journey” down and the first “step” for the way up. Continue reading "Silver Update: Risk/Reward Ratio Favors Longs (1:4)"

Gold Update: Bulls Have The First Confirmation

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


One month ago I dared to call my Gold update "Major reversal," but I have enough reason for that. Today I prepared a short term daily chart with the focus being on the first bullish move and its correction.

GOLD (FOREX:XAUUSDO)
Chart courtesy of Tradingview.com

Like a tree starting from a sprout, the new trend starts from the first counter trend move that has its threshold at the end of July. Gold's price has gained a weighty 9% (almost $100) in one month and has stalled at the $1170 level ahead of resistance. The gold market has been treading water within the 1077/1110 range for two weeks in a row and it looked like another consolidation was going to happen before the new drop down. But, surprisingly the price broke the upper bound and quickly cut through the $1100 level. It then had a small four-day break before it made the final jump to the $1170 level. This is the first serious counter trend move which I have labeled as the large green AB segment. Continue reading "Gold Update: Bulls Have The First Confirmation"

Year To Date Dynamics: Metals Versus Top Assets

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Today I prepared for you the year-to-date comparative dynamics of the metals versus the top financial instruments including the Dollar Index, crude oil and the S&P 500 index.

Gold Comparison Chart
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

As seen in the above graph, half of the instruments started the year on an upbeat tune, lead by Silver and followed by Gold, Platinum and the Dollar Index. The other half started with a nose-diving fall, especially crude oil followed by Copper, Palladium and the S&P 500 bringing up the rear. Continue reading "Year To Date Dynamics: Metals Versus Top Assets"

Silver Update: The Time Has Come

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


The less you watch, the more you see the whole picture. The last time I posted a Silver update was three months ago, and nothing much has happened in the market, but the attitude has changed with a fresh look. Let's take a look at the details on the chart below.

FOREX:XAGUSD
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

In my last Silver update, I had said that in the current downtrend it was preferable to take short positions with good protective stops just above resistance and the range had been defined within the $15-18.5 margins. Indeed, the price had broken below the $15 support level and dipped lower, testing the December 2014 low at the $14 level which would open the door to interim support at $12 level. This attack was repelled in the previous month and the market closed almost in between the $14-15 level at $14.60. Continue reading "Silver Update: The Time Has Come"

Copper Update: Crude Oil Signals To Cover Shorts

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Last month, I published a post about the correlation of the World GDP and Copper prices. I also covered the close correlation of Crude Oil and Copper prices.

Chart 1 Crude Oil weekly: Sharp rebound

NYMEX Crude Oil
Chart courtesy of TradingView.com

As seen in the above weekly chart, Crude Oil bulls attacked the market without a declaration of war and caught sellers unaware. The price quickly grew more than $10 in just three days.

This severe price action on the weekly chart has formed a so-called Bullish Engulfing pattern. That's when the small red bearish candlestick is followed by a large green bullish candlestick that completely eclipses (engulfs) the previous week's candlestick. It means that bulls have taken control of the market and the price has gone lower (or is at the end of the decline). Continue reading "Copper Update: Crude Oil Signals To Cover Shorts"