Orange Juice Futures
Orange juice futures in the May contract is currently trading higher by 20 points at 111.20 in a very quiet non-volatile trading manor this Thursday in New York.
At the present time, volatility has come to a crawl because prices historically speaking are depressed as we continually bounce off the critical 110 level, as it certainly looks to me that a bottoming out pattern is at hand. I have been recommending a bullish position from around the 110 level. If you took that trade, continue to place the stop loss under the multi-year low standing at 90 as an exit strategy as we're awaiting some fresh fundamental news to put some volatility back into this commodity.
Juice prices have gone nowhere over the last six weeks, continually bouncing around as prices are still trading below their 20 and 100-day moving average as the trend is to the downside as this was a counter-trend recommendation. I still believe the risk/reward is in your favor to the upside as the downside in price is limited, in my opinion.
I also have bullish recommendations in coffee and cotton as I think the commodity market downturn over the last several weeks is overextended. I think we will start to rally, especially with all the quantitative easing that the federal government continues to create, which should be a supportive factor just like it was in 2011, so stay long.
TREND: MIXED - LOWER
CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT
VOLATILITY: LOW
Sugar Futures
Sugar futures in the May contract are currently trading up 12 points at 14.89 a pound as prices continue their short-term bearish momentum this week as we're hovering right near a three-month low.
I'm sitting on the sidelines looking to be a buyer soon. I think the downside will be limited at these depressed prices, with the major support standing at 14.50, which could be touched this week. You also have to remember we are closed on Friday due to the Good Friday holiday as it will be a shortened trading week. Continue reading "Will The Futures Market Start To Rally?" →