Dollar Index, Gold And Silver Updates

Posted on by Aibek Burabayev

The market moves in zigzags and not in a straight line as it takes a break from time to time to accumulate enough power to continue with the trend. In my post last week, I mentioned the US dollar index (DXY) as one of the drivers of the precious metals rally. This time I would like to share the daily chart of it below as I spotted a reversal signal there, which could affect precious metals.

Dollar Index

The DXY price was rejected right at the contact point with the downside of the red downtrend channel. The price tried that support twice on the 31st of July and the 6th of August but failed to break below. This, again and again, demonstrates the power of simple trend channels.

The other move was very sharp to the downside within two equal zigzags pushing the price from 100.9 to 92.5. The DXY was oversold, and now it could enter the retracement stage to let traders book some profit covering shorts, and contrarian traders might enter longs here playing on the trendline rejection. The price could touch the opposite side of the trend channel around 96 as this could be not a minor, but a large corrective structure as we saw such last time only this April. Continue reading "Dollar Index, Gold And Silver Updates" →

Will The Futures Market Join The Party?

Posted on by Mike Seery

Silver Futures

Silver futures in the September contract settled last Friday in New York at 24.21 while currently trading at 28.50 up over $4 for the trading week hitting a 7-year high as the entire precious metal sector has exploded to the upside. Gold prices hit all-time highs this week helping support silver as prices traded as high as 29.91 in today's session, and if you have been following my previous blogs, you understand that I thought the $30 level could be touched.

I have been recommending a bullish position over the last month from around the 18.61 level, and if you took that trade, continue to place the stop loss under the 2 week low standing at 22.46 as an exit strategy. However, I did have several clients take profits around the $29 level as it all depends on your trading account size and risk tolerance at this time as the volatility is crazy. I think we will start to consolidate over the next couple of weeks, but I still think we are in a bullish secular trend that will last for several years. All the stimulus packages are finally coming to fruition helping push up asset classes, and I do believe the rest of the commodity markets will start to join the party.

Silver prices are trading far above their 20 and 100-day moving average as the trend clearly as to the upside as prices are in extreme overbought conditions, and if you are not involved in this trade, I would sit on the sidelines as the risk/reward is not in your favor.

TREND: HIGHER
CHART STRUCTURE: IMPROVING
VOLATILITY: HIGH

Platinum Futures

Platinum futures in the October contract ended the week on a sour note down $43 at 970 an ounce after settling last Friday in New York at 918 up over $50 for the trading week as prices hit a fresh contract low in today's trade. Continue reading "Will The Futures Market Join The Party?" →

Gold Hits Record High

Posted on by The INO.com Team

Gold futures in the December contract hit a new all-time intraday high of $2,089.20 per ounce Friday morning as investors poured into the safe-haven asset ahead of the closely watched jobs report.

Gold is up about +1.8% this week, on pace for its ninth straight weekly gain for the first time since May of 2006. Gold futures, however, have since fallen about -2.2% to $2,031.10 per ounce. Spot gold dipped as well, falling about -2.1% to $2,028.70 per ounce on Friday. On a weekly level, it will still post a gain of +2.1%; it's the ninth straight week of gains.

The DOW just posted a "Golden Cross," joining the NASDAQ and S&P 500, when it's 50-day moving average broke above its 200-day moving average, which is traditionally a bullish signal for the first time since March. Continue reading "Gold Hits Record High" →

U.S. Crude Oil Production Collapsed In May

Posted on by Robert Boslego

The Energy Information Administration reported that May crude oil production collapsed by 1.989 million barrels per day (mmbd), averaging 10.001 mmbd. That compares to the EIA’s weekly estimates (interpolated) of 11.419 mmbd, a figure that was 1.418 mmbd higher.

Crude Oil Production

Reductions were largest in Texas (764,000), North Dakota (353,000) and the Gulf of Mexico (300,000) and New Mexico (168,000). Given the huge reduction in May, production dropped by 2.112 mmb/d over the past 12 months. This number only includes crude oil. Other supplies (liquids) that are part of the petroleum supply fell by an additional 680,000 b/d from a year ago.

Crude Oil Production
Continue reading "U.S. Crude Oil Production Collapsed In May" →

Three ETFs Set To Move Higher

Posted on by Matt Thalman

With over 2,300 ETFs to choose from, its not easy finding ones that excite you enough to put hard-earned money into with the goal that it grows substantially higher in the future. Luckily for you, I am continually searching high and low to find ETFs the average investor like yourself can not only buy but own over a period sometimes just months or other times years with the confidence that you will see a solid return. The current economic environment adds another challenge on top of finding quality ETFs to invest in, which is why I will also thoroughly explain why now is potentially a good time to buy.

The first ETF I would like to highlight is one that has already received a boost and will likely continue to move higher due to the Covid-19 Pandemic and how this global problem will likely have a lasting effect on the flow of business. The SoFi Gig Economy ETF (GIGE) has an inception date of May 2019 but now finds itself in a perfect storm situation where the fund was developed to benefit from the "gig economy," which due to the pandemic and social distancing requirements seem to be the sweet spot everyone wants to be. The fund's prospectus states its allocation based on these metrics;

30% to 60% Companies that directly facilitate and participate in revenue generation from gig economy businesses (e.g., app-based platforms, auction sites, web-based stores, and other commission-based platforms) 20% to 40% Companies that enable or support gig economy businesses in marketing and sales functions (e.g., social media platforms, messaging platforms) 5% to 20% Companies that facilitate financial transactions for gig economy businesses through apps or web-based platforms 5% to 15% Companies that support the ability of individuals to operate a gig economy business without participating in a commission or revenue-based model (e.g., companies providing health care, technology, or other back office services) 0% to 10% Other companies that are expected to benefit from the growth of gig economy businesses and associated lifestyle changes for individuals engaged in gig economy businesses

The funds top holdings include Twitter (TWTR), Alibaba (BABA), MercadoLibre (MELI), PayPal (PYPL), Square (SQ), and Lending Tree (TREE) to name a few. All companies that are primed to continue benefiting from the current pandemic and are set-up to be rock stars even once we have moved past the Covid-19 situation. And did I mention the fund is up 37% year-to-date? Continue reading "Three ETFs Set To Move Higher" →