A Fed Rate Hike Next Week Is A Lock - Right?

George Yacik - INO.com Contributor - Fed & Interest Rates


An interest rate increase at next week’s Federal Reserve meeting would seem to be a foregone conclusion. The Fed would look downright foolish if it didn’t raise rates. But can we take anything for granted when it comes to the Fed making rate decisions?

On the surface, you would have to guess that there is almost no chance the Fed will leave rates alone at next week’s meeting. Indeed, that’s what the bond market and the federal fund's futures market are saying.

The three-month Treasury bill is currently trading at 0.50%. That’s nearly triple the 0.17% it was trading at on September 20, which was also its lowest point this year. It’s also more than double the high end of the Fed’s current fed funds range of 0% to 0.25%. Given that comparison, the Fed would look seriously out of touch with reality if it didn’t raise rates at least 25 basis points this time around. If anything, the Fed is now playing catch-up, not leading the markets. In any event, rates are going up regardless of what the Fed does or doesn’t do. Continue reading "A Fed Rate Hike Next Week Is A Lock - Right?"

OPEC's Cut Could Lead To American Oil Independence

Robert Boslego - INO.com Contributor - Energies


OPEC

In line with the ‘Algiers Accord,' OPEC reported an agreement to limit its production to a new OPEC-14 production target of 32.5mb/d, “in order to accelerate the ongoing drawdown of the stock overhang and bring the oil market rebalancing forward. The Agreement will be effective from January 1, 2017.“ It will last six months but is “extendable” for another six months.

It did so by announcing “adjustments” to a “reference” case as follows. Three countries were not assigned cuts: Indonesia, which suspended its membership, and Libya and Nigeria, which are in the process of restoring their output from disruptions. Continue reading "OPEC's Cut Could Lead To American Oil Independence"

A Few Crazy Niche ETFs, But May Be Worth Owning

Matt Thalman - INO.com Contributor - ETFs


Through my search to find great Exchange Traded Funds to tell I have run across a number of very niche ETFs that at first seem a little crazy. But after further research into some of them, they may have actually found a profitable market opportunity that you can now own.

Before we get into three of the more interesting ETFs, I would like to note that these ETFs are on the riskier side and it really wouldn’t be prudent for investors to go "all-in" with these funds.

Now that we have gotten the disclosure out of the way let's dig in. Continue reading "A Few Crazy Niche ETFs, But May Be Worth Owning"

Disney Pushing New Highs and Breaks All-Time Box Office Record

Noah Kiedrowski - INO.com Contributor - Biotech


Introduction

In early September I wrote an article speaking to the fact that The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) couldn’t seem to get out of its own way when it came to breaking out of its chronic stock slump. Over the past few weeks, Disney has seen a major move towards the $100 threshold after reporting its quarterly results and breaking the all-time worldwide box-office record. This uptick has been buoyed by Doctor Strange, Moana and Rouge One to round out the year at the box office. The stock fell from the $120s in late 2015 to low $90s and had been stuck in the $90 range all throughout 2016. This perpetual slump was almost entirely attributable to the decrease in ESPN subscribers and thus revenue and profit from their Media Networks segment. Excluding ESPN, Disney has been executing well and reporting record numbers throughout its other business segments. Disney has a deep and diversified enough entertainment portfolio to make a compelling case that these ESPN fears are overblown. Disney’s portfolio consists of Marvel Entertainment, Lucasfilm, Pixar, ESPN, ABC, 32% shareholder in Hulu and of course the core Disney franchise (Disney Studios, Disney consumer products, Parks and Resorts and Disney Cruise Line). The revenue stream from these assets is as diverse as the assets themselves. The ESPN franchise within the Media Networks segment generates revenue/operating income that are disproportionate to the amount of the company’s overall revenue and operating profit. Thus, one can see why investors were spooked after two consecutive significant declines in ESPN subscribers and thus numbers over the past three years. The decreases in revenue within this segment have been arrested and on the rebound due to measures put in place at Disney. As this revenue stream slowly recovers with initiatives put in place and investors can rest assure, Disney will likely retrace the $120 level seen in 2015. Continue reading "Disney Pushing New Highs and Breaks All-Time Box Office Record"

Gold & Silver: Silver Is The First Up

Aibek Burabayev - INO.com Contributor - Metals


Those who hope tell themselves - one day the tide will turn. I think a lot of people are either long or they’re not and were waiting for the rise of the top metals. Below are fresh charts which could help us to understand where we are and when the tide will turn higher.

Chart 1. Gold Daily: Watch The Breakup For Reversal

Daily Gold Chart W/RSI
Chart courtesy of tradingview.com

I’ve written quite a lot in my previous posts about the tricky nature of corrective structures which have unpredictable outcomes. But the more time we spend inside of it, the higher are the chances that the situation becomes clearer. Continue reading "Gold & Silver: Silver Is The First Up"